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Liga de Assenso International

31.07.2026 23:15 UTC

Not started

Liga de Assenso

Verdirrojo - Tabare

International Basketball

Verdirrojo

- : -

Not started

Tabare

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Verdirrojo — 54%

Pure model vs market (1 · Verdirrojo): model 55% · market 54% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Verdirrojo53.9%

2 · Tabare46.1%

Model estimate: win Verdirrojo 53.9%, win Tabare 46.1%. Model favourite — Verdirrojo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Verdirrojo (odds1.72) Score 81:79 Over 152.5 (odds1.82) Handicap H1 -1.5 (odds1.80) confidence 54%

• Verdirroyo: forma VVVVP (4-1)
• Tabare: forma PPPVV (2-3)
• ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
• Model backs Verdirroyo: probability 54% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.72)
• no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
• Total: Over 152.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
• at line 152.5 (odds 1.82)
• Handicap F1 -1.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Verdirrojo - Tabare July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Verdirrojo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.72 / 2 2.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%

1 53.8%

2 46.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Pobeditel P1 1.72 → 1.72

Pobeditel P2 2.00 → 2.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated30.07.2026 16:32 UTC

1 56% ✓ favourite

2 44%

Score79:75 Total points: Under 156.5 Bet:Handicap 1 (-1.5)

Per AI data H2H: 80:84

Claude updated30.07.2026 16:45 UTC

1 61% ✓ favourite

2 39%

Score84:79 Total points: Under 167.5 Bet:1 (win Verdirroyo) at 1.72

Qwen updated30.07.2026 16:40 UTC

1 78% ✓ favourite

2 7%

Score2:0 Total points: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda

Per AI data H2H: 0-0

GLM 5.2 updated30.07.2026 17:00 UTC

1 55% ✓ favourite

2 45%

Score88:82 Total points: Over 160.5 Bet:P1

Per AI data Form:LWWLL / WWLWW H2H: Tabare won 84:80 on 09.07.2026 Injuries:None reported

AI consensus:1

AI	1	2	Score	Total points	Bet
Google AI	56%	44%	79:75	Under 156.5	Handicap 1 (-1.5)
Claude	61%	39%	84:79	Under 167.5
Qwen	78%	7%	2:0	Under 2.5	Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2	55%	45%	88:82	Over 160.5	P1

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Match center

Start 31.07.2026 23:15 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Verdirrojo 63%

📐 Math model Verdirrojo 54%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Verdirrojo - Tabare

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Verdirrojo 53.8% 53.9% market and model agree

Tabare 46.2% 46.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 53.9% / 46.1% probabilities

Rating 1,530 / 1,446 Verdirrojo / Tabare

RD 187 / 174 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,155-1,905 / 1,097-1,794 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.00 Fonbet · no value · model 46.1%

1 1.72 Fonbet · no value · model 53.9%

Total

Over 152.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Under 152.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Fonbet	Leon
1.79 55.9%	1.80 55.6%	—
—	—	1.87 53.5%
1.88 53.2%	—	—
—	—	1.84 54.4%
—	1.90 52.6%	—

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Fonbet	Leon
Over 152.5	1.81 55.3%	1.82 55.0%	1.81 55.3%
Under 152.5	1.86 53.8%	1.88 53.2%	1.86 53.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Fonbet	Leon
	1.71 58.5%	1.72 58.1%	1.72 58.1%
	1.98 50.5%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%

Match center

Verdirrojo

W W W W L

27.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso

Verdirrojo 94:71 Deportivo Albatros

25.07 23:30 UTC Liga de Assenso

Verdirrojo 84:81 Larre Borzhes

24.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso

Verdirrojo 76:64 Olivol Mundial

21.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso

Verdirrojo 77:73 Larre Borzhes

17.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso

Verdirrojo 59:69 Olimpiya

4 Wins

1 Losses

78.0 Scored

71.6 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Tabare

L L L W W

29.07 00:15 UTC Liga de Assenso

Tabare 97:100 Urupan De Pando

24.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso

Tabare 86:91 Sayago

21.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso

Tabare 64:74 Truvill

17.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso

Tabare 74:55 Olivol Mundial

14.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso

Tabare 68:66 Olimpiya

2 Wins

3 Losses

77.8 Scored

77.2 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVerdirrojo - Tabare

Verdirrojo

1 matches total

Tabare

Verdirrojo: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Tabare: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Tabare 78:81 (09.07 23:15 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 159 goals (78:81, 09.07 23:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

09.07 23:15 UTC Liga de Assenso

Verdirroyo

78:81

Tabare