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Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

08.06.2026 13:50 UTC Match prediction

08.06.2026 13:50 UTC

Finished

Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis - Neptunas

Basketball

Litkabelis

80 : 68

Finished

Neptunas

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Litkabelis - Neptunas June 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Litkabelis. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 5.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 11.5%

1 83.1%

2 16.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

4Wins3

85.1Points on average84.0

Head-to-head matches: 7 · average total 169.1 (points)

Team form

Litkabelis

2-3LWLWL

points for 91.6points against 89.0

Neptunas

1-4WLLLL

points for 83.1points against 81.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Stadium Kalnapilio arena (Panevezhis)

Referee Racys S. 🇱🇹 - Urbanovic A. 🇱🇹 - Gedvilas G. 🇱🇹

Attendance 1 952

Start 08.06.2026 13:50 UTC

Match center

Litkabelis - Neptunas

Array

Form 3/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.30 Fonbet · line only

1 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 148.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Over 149.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.15 46.5%
	2.45 40.8%
	2.08 48.1%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.40 41.7%
	2.02 49.5%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.45 40.8%
	2.75 36.4%
	1.73 57.8%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.45 69.0%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.88 53.2%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.30 76.9%
	1.41 70.9%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 148.5	1.35 74.1%
Over 149.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 150.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 151.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 152.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 153.5	1.53 65.4%
Over 154.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 155.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 156.5	2.65 37.7%
Over 157.5	3.05 32.8%
Over 158.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 159.5	2.45 40.8%
Over 160.5	2.75 36.4%
Over 161.5	2.20 45.5%
Over 162.5	2.40 41.7%
Over 163.5	2.65 37.7%
Over 164.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 165.5	1.73 57.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Bet365	Bet365 (no latency)	BetBoom	Betcity	Betfair	Bettery	Fonbet	Leon
	1.48 67.6%	1.47 68.0%	1.55 64.5%	1.55 64.5%	1.52 65.8%	1.59 62.9%	1.53 65.4%	1.08 92.6%	1.51 66.2%
	2.50 40.0%	2.55 39.2%	2.29 43.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.55 39.2%	2.44 41.0%	2.33 42.9%	5.30 18.9%	2.52 39.7%

Match center

Litkabelis

L L W

06.06 11:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis 73:86 Neptunas

26.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis 75:85 Zhalgiris

20.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis 85:84 Shyaulyay

1 Wins

2 Losses

77.7 Scored

85.0 Conceded

33% Win percentage

Neptunas

W L W L L

06.06 11:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 86:73 Litkabelis

03.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 90:103 Yuventus

01.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 102:84 Yuventus

29.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 83:86 Yuventus

27.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 83:96 Yuventus

2 Wins

3 Losses

88.8 Scored

88.4 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLitkabelis - Neptunas

Litkabelis

1 matches total

Neptunas

Litkabelis: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Neptunas: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Neptunas 73:86 (06.06 11:50 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 159 goals (73:86, 06.06 11:50 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

06.06 11:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis

73:86

Neptunas

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Litkabelis

Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Neptunas

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Zhalgiris 2:0 (8) Yonava

1/4 (4) Shyaulyay streak (5) Litkabelis

1/4 (3) Neptunas streak (6) Gargzdai

1/4 (2) Ritas streak (7) Yuventus