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Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

13.06.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction

13.06.2026 11:30 UTC

Finished

Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis - Neptunas

Basketball

Litkabelis

82 : 91

Finished

Neptunas

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Litkabelis - Neptunas June 13, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Neptunas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.65 / 2 1.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 9.2%

1 34.6%

2 65.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

4Wins3

85.1Points on average84.0

Head-to-head matches: 7 · average total 169.1 (points)

Team form

Litkabelis

2-3LWLWL

points for 91.6points against 89.0

Neptunas

1-4WLLLL

points for 83.1points against 81.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Stadium Kalnapilio arena (Panevezhis)

Referee Vilius G. 🇱🇹 - Sukys A. 🇱🇹 - Urbanovic A. 🇱🇹

Attendance 2 180

Start 13.06.2026 11:30 UTC

Match center

Litkabelis - Neptunas

Array

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.40 Fonbet · line only

1 2.65 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 156.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Over 157.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.45 69.0%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.75 57.1%
	1.95 51.3%
	2.75 36.4%
	2.50 40.0%
	2.85 35.1%
	3.30 30.3%
	2.50 40.0%
	1.37 73.0%
	1.50 66.7%
	1.40 71.4%
	1.60 62.5%
	1.50 66.7%
	1.43 69.9%
	1.45 69.0%
	1.45 69.0%
	1.41 70.9%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 156.5	1.53 65.4%
Over 157.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 158.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 159.5	1.52 65.8%
Over 160.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 161.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 162.5	1.73 57.8%
Over 163.5	1.37 73.0%
Over 164.5	1.45 69.0%
Over 165.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 166.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 167.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 168.5	2.02 49.5%
Over 169.5	1.35 74.1%
Over 170.5	1.45 69.0%
Over 171.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 172.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 173.5	1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Bettery	Fonbet	Leon
	1.69 59.2%	1.73 57.8%	1.72 58.1%	2.65 37.7%	1.76 56.8%
	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.00 50.0%	1.40 71.4%	2.04 49.0%

Match center

Litkabelis

L W L L W

11.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis 63:66 Neptunas

08.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis 80:68 Neptunas

06.06 11:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis 73:86 Neptunas

26.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis 75:85 Zhalgiris

20.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis 85:84 Shyaulyay

2 Wins

3 Losses

75.2 Scored

77.8 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Neptunas

W L W L W

11.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 66:63 Litkabelis

08.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 68:80 Litkabelis

06.06 11:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 86:73 Litkabelis

03.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 90:103 Yuventus

01.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 102:84 Yuventus

3 Wins

2 Losses

82.4 Scored

80.6 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLitkabelis - Neptunas

Litkabelis

3 matches total

Neptunas

Litkabelis: 1 (33.3%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Neptunas: 2 (66.7%)

Biggest win Neptunas 73:86 (06.06 11:50 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 159 goals (73:86, 06.06 11:50 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

11.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis

63:66

Neptunas

08.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis

80:68

Neptunas

06.06 11:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis

73:86

Neptunas

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Litkabelis

Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Neptunas

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Zhalgiris 2:0 (8) Yonava

1/4 (4) Shyaulyay streak (5) Litkabelis

1/4 (3) Neptunas streak (6) Gargzdai

1/4 (2) Ritas streak (7) Yuventus