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Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

21.05.2026 13:50 UTC Match prediction

21.05.2026 13:50 UTC

Finished

Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas - Gargzdai

Basketball

Neptunas

100 : 73

Finished

Gargzdai

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Neptunas - Gargzdai May 21, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Neptunas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%

1 91.6%

2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Neptunas

Main outcome Neptunas

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 50.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Neptunas

1-4WLLLL

points for 83.1points against 81.6

Gargzdai

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Stadium Shviturio Arena (Klaypeda)

Referee Racys S. 🇱🇹 - Barkauskas J. 🇱🇹 - Borusas A. 🇱🇹

Attendance 2 423

Start 21.05.2026 13:50 UTC

Match center

Neptunas - Gargzdai

Array

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 100:73

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Betting snapshot

1X2

1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 100.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Over 103.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.15 46.5%
	2.55 39.2%
	2.35 42.6%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.55 39.2%
	2.85 35.1%
	2.50 40.0%
	2.45 40.8%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.55 39.2%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.43 69.9%
	1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 100.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 103.5	2.02 49.5%
Over 105.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 166.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 171.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 172.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 173.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 174.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 175.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 176.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 177.5	2.40 41.7%
Over 178.5	2.70 37.0%
Over 179.5	3.10 32.3%
Over 180.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 181.5	2.30 43.5%
Over 182.5	2.60 38.5%
Over 183.5	2.95 33.9%
Over 184.5	2.80 35.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.01 99.0%
	11.00 9.1%

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNeptunas - Gargzdai

Neptunas

0 matches total

Gargzdai

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Neptunas

Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Gargzdai

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Zhalgiris 1:0 (8) Yonava

1/4 (4) Shyaulyay streak (5) Litkabelis

1/4 (2) Ritas streak (7) Yuventus

1/4 (3) Neptunas streak (6) Gargzdai