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Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

06.06.2026 11:50 UTC Match prediction

06.06.2026 11:50 UTC

Finished

Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas - Litkabelis

Basketball

Neptunas

86 : 73

Finished

Litkabelis

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Neptunas - Litkabelis June 6, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Neptunas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 7.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 10.4%

1 87.1%

2 12.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

3Wins4

84.0Points on average85.1

Head-to-head matches: 7 · average total 169.1 (points)

Team form

Neptunas

1-4WLLLL

points for 83.1points against 81.6

Litkabelis

2-3LWLWL

points for 91.6points against 89.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Stadium Shviturio Arena (Klaypeda)

Referee Vilius G. 🇱🇹 - Maciulis G. 🇱🇹 - Laurinavicius J. 🇱🇹

Attendance 1 447

Start 06.06.2026 11:50 UTC

Match center

Neptunas - Litkabelis

Array

Form 5/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.00 Fonbet · line only

1 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 159.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Over 160.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.60 38.5%
	2.45 40.8%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.37 73.0%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.75 57.1%
	1.60 62.5%
	1.50 66.7%
	1.75 57.1%
	1.65 60.6%
	2.30 43.5%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.50 66.7%
	2.05 48.8%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.50 66.7%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 159.5	1.48 67.6%
Over 160.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 161.5	1.47 68.0%
Over 162.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 163.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 164.5	1.45 69.0%
Over 165.5	1.43 69.9%
Over 166.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 167.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 168.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 169.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 170.5	1.88 53.2%
Over 171.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 172.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 173.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 174.5	1.88 53.2%
Over 175.5	2.08 48.1%
Over 176.5	2.30 43.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.04 96.2%
	7.00 14.3%

Match center

Neptunas

L W L L W

03.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 90:103 Yuventus

01.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 102:84 Yuventus

29.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 83:86 Yuventus

27.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 83:96 Yuventus

21.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas 100:73 Gargzdai

2 Wins

3 Losses

91.6 Scored

88.4 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Litkabelis

L W

26.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis 75:85 Zhalgiris

20.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Litkabelis 85:84 Shyaulyay

1 Wins

1 Losses

80.0 Scored

84.5 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNeptunas - Litkabelis

Neptunas

0 matches total

Litkabelis

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Neptunas

Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Litkabelis

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Zhalgiris 2:0 (8) Yonava

1/4 (4) Shyaulyay streak (5) Litkabelis

1/4 (3) Neptunas streak (6) Gargzdai

1/4 (2) Ritas streak (7) Yuventus