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Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
11.06.2026 13:50 UTC Match prediction
11.06.2026 13:50 UTC
Finished

Lithuania: LKL - Playoff

Neptunas - Litkabelis

Basketball
Neptunas
Neptunas
66 : 63
Finished
Litkabelis
Litkabelis

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Neptunas - Litkabelis June 11, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Litkabelis. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.45 / 2 1.47

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 37.5%
2 62.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

4Wins3
57.1%Win %42.9%
85.1Points per game84.0
103.6Offensive rating114.1
102.2Defensive rating115.7
1.1Point differential-1.1
51.5Assists49.5
90.5Rebounds107.5
36.8%3-pointers, %37.8%

Team form

Neptunas
Overall LWLWL Net +5.4
Home WWL Net +13.9
Away LLL Net -3.2
Litkabelis

Coach: Panevežio 7Bet-Lietkabelis

Overall WLLLL Net +3.0
Home WLW Net +11.6
Away LLL Net -5.2

Team stats

Neptunas Overall · Home/Away Litkabelis
52.5%H 65.0% · A 40.0%Win %46.2%H 57.9% · A 35.0%
5.4H 13.9 · A -3.2Point differential3.0H 11.6 · A -5.2
91.6H 94.8 · A 88.5Points per game83.1H 85.8 · A 80.6
89.0H 87.9 · A 90.1Conceded81.6H 80.0 · A 83.2
50.4%H 53.1% · A 47.6%FG, %49.3%H 49.3% · A 49.3%
57.5H 55.0 · A 60.01st half38.5H 47.4 · A 30.0
74.6H 74.1 · A 75.1Pace70.4H 69.7 · A 71.1
122.8H 123.5 · A 122.1Offensive rating117.8H 118.9 · A 116.8
119.3H 119.9 · A 118.5Defensive rating115.7H 116.8 · A 114.7

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Neptunas Total (over) Litkabelis
91.6 Points per game 83.1
77.5%
O 83.5
48.7%
75.0%
O 84.5
43.6%
70.0%
O 85.5
41.0%
67.5%
O 86.5
41.0%
67.5%
O 87.5srednee
33.3%
65.0%
O 88.5
33.3%
65.0%
O 89.5
23.1%
57.5%
O 90.5
23.1%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Neptunas Total (over) Litkabelis
10.0%
O 108.5
0.0%
10.0%
O 109.5
0.0%
7.5%
O 110.5
0.0%
7.5%
O 111.5
0.0%
7.5%
O 112.5
0.0%
5.0%
O 113.5
0.0%
5.0%
O 114.5
0.0%
5.0%
O 115.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Neptunas 46.3 / Litkabelis 40.4

Neptunas Total (over) Litkabelis
75.0%
O 41.5
46.2%
72.5%
O 42.5
41.0%
67.5%
O 43.5srednee
30.8%
62.5%
O 44.5
25.6%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Neptunas 44.4 / Litkabelis 42.7

Neptunas Total (over) Litkabelis
55.0%
O 42.5
56.4%
47.5%
O 43.5srednee
43.6%
47.5%
O 44.5
35.9%
47.5%
O 45.5
30.8%

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Match center
Stadium Shviturio Arena (Klaypeda)
Referee Vilius G. 🇱🇹 - Maciulis G. 🇱🇹 - Gedvilas G. 🇱🇹
Attendance 2 510
Start 11.06.2026 13:50 UTC
Match center

Neptunas - Litkabelis

Array

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.47 Fonbet · line only
1 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 134.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 135.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
2.02 49.5%
2.15 46.5%
2.30 43.5%
2.15 46.5%
2.40 41.7%
2.80 35.7%
3.25 30.8%
1.60 62.5%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.35 74.1%
1.37 73.0%
1.80 55.6%
1.50 66.7%
1.45 69.0%
1.45 69.0%
1.44 69.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 134.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 135.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 137.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 138.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 139.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 140.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 141.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 142.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 143.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 144.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 145.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 146.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 147.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 148.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 149.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 150.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 151.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 152.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Fonbet Leon
1.66 60.2% 1.71 58.5% 1.67 59.9% 2.45 40.8% 1.69 59.2%
2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.07 48.3% 1.47 68.0% 2.14 46.7%
Match center
Neptunas
L W L W L
08.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Neptunas 68:80 LitkabelisLitkabelis
06.06 11:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Neptunas 86:73 LitkabelisLitkabelis
03.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Neptunas 90:103 YuventusYuventus
01.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Neptunas 102:84 YuventusYuventus
29.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Neptunas 83:86 YuventusYuventus
2 Wins
3 Losses
85.8 Scored
85.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Litkabelis
W L L W
08.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Litkabelis 80:68 NeptunasNeptunas
06.06 11:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Litkabelis 73:86 NeptunasNeptunas
26.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Litkabelis 75:85 ZhalgirisZhalgiris
20.05 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Litkabelis 85:84 Shyaulyay
2 Wins
2 Losses
78.3 Scored
80.8 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNeptunas - Litkabelis

Neptunas
2 matches total
Litkabelis
Neptunas: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Litkabelis: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Neptunas 86:73 (06.06 11:50 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 159 goals (86:73, 06.06 11:50 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

08.06 13:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Neptunas
68:80
Litkabelis
06.06 11:50 UTC Lithuania: LKL - Playoff
Neptunas
86:73
Litkabelis
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Neptunas
Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Litkabelis

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Zhalgiris 2:0 (8) Yonava
1/4 (4) Shyaulyay streak (5) Litkabelis
1/4 (3) Neptunas streak (6) Gargzdai
1/4 (2) Ritas streak (7) Yuventus