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Lebanon. First Division. Semi-finals. Best of 5

02.08.2026 18:30 UTC

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Lebanon. First Division. Semi-finals. Best of 5

Al-Riyadi Beirut - Sagesse Beirut

Basketball

Al-Riyadi Beirut

- : -

Not started

Sagesse Beirut

Al-Riyadi Beirut face Sagesse Beirut on August 2, 2026 in the Lebanon. First Division. Semi-finals. Best of 5.

Recent form (W-D-L): Al-Riyadi Beirut 2-0-3, Sagesse Beirut 3-0-2. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Al-Riyadi Beirut — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Al-Riyadi Beirut): model 39% · market 59% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Al-Riyadi Beirut57.5%

2 · Sagesse Beirut42.5%

Model estimate: win Al-Riyadi Beirut 57.5%, win Sagesse Beirut 42.5%. Model favourite — Al-Riyadi Beirut.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Al-Riyadi Beirut (odds1.67) Score 81:79 Under 174.5 (odds2.03) Handicap H2 +2.5 (odds1.85) confidence 54%

• Al-Riyadi Beyrut: forma PVPVP (2-3)
• Sagesse Beirut: forma VPVPV (3-2)
• ochnye 1-2 (za 3)
• Model backs Al-Riyadi Beyrut: probability 54% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.67)
• no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
• Total: Under 174.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
• at line 174.5 (odds 2.03)
• Handicap F2 +2.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al-Riyadi Beirut - Sagesse Beirut August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Al-Riyadi Beirut. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.57 / 2 2.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%

1 58.9%

2 41.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Pobeditel P1 1.67 ↓ 1.57

Pobeditel P2 2.07 ↑ 2.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Al-Riyadi Beirut

1-4LWLLL

points for 86.9points against 86.2

Sagesse Beirut

4-1WLWWW

points for 103.0points against 91.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Start 02.08.2026 18:30 UTC

Market 1 58.9% @ 1.57 / 2 41.1% @ 2.25

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Al-Riyadi Beirut - Sagesse Beirut

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Al-Riyadi Beirut 58.9% 57.5% market and model agree

Sagesse Beirut 41.1% 42.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 57.5% / 42.5% probabilities

Rating 1,912 / 2,398 Al-Riyadi Beirut / Sagesse Beirut

RD 198 / 250 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,517-2,307 / 1,898-2,899 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.25 Fonbet · no value · model 42.5%

1 1.57 Fonbet · no value · model 57.5%

Total

Over 174.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Over 175.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
—	—	1.51 66.2%
—	—	1.67 59.9%
1.83 54.6%	1.88 53.2%	1.75 57.1%
1.83 54.6%	—	1.85 54.1%
—	—	1.96 51.0%
—	—	2.07 48.3%
—	—	2.37 42.2%
1.83 54.6%	1.82 55.0%	—
1.83 54.6%	—	—
—	—	2.07 48.3%
—	—	1.96 51.0%
—	—	1.85 54.1%
—	—	1.75 57.1%
—	—	1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
Over 174.5	—	—	1.70 58.8%	—
Over 175.5	—	—	1.77 56.5%	—
Over 176.5	1.83 54.6%	1.88 53.2%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%
Over 177.5	—	—	1.94 51.6%	—
Over 178.5	—	—	2.03 49.3%	—
Under 174.5	—	—	2.03 49.3%	—
Under 175.5	—	—	1.94 51.6%	—
Under 176.5	1.83 54.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%
Under 177.5	—	—	1.77 56.5%	—
Under 178.5	—	—	1.70 58.8%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet	Leon
	1.53 65.4%	1.67 59.9%	1.57 63.7%	1.60 62.5%
	2.20 45.5%	2.07 48.3%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%

Match center

Al-Riyadi Beirut

L W L W L

01.08 18:30 UTC LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Al-Riyadi Beirut 43:56 Sagesse Beirut

31.07 16:30 UTC LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Al-Riyadi Beirut 99:86 Sagesse Beirut

28.07 18:38 UTC LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Al-Riyadi Beirut 78:90 Sagesse Beirut

27.07 16:40 UTC LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Al-Riyadi Beirut 87:85 Sagesse Beirut

25.07 16:30 UTC LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Al-Riyadi Beirut 96:101 Sagesse Beirut

2 Wins

3 Losses

80.6 Scored

83.6 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Sagesse Beirut

W L W L W

01.08 18:30 UTC LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Sagesse Beirut 56:43 Al-Riyadi Beyrut

31.07 16:30 UTC LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Sagesse Beirut 86:99 Al-Riyadi Beyrut

28.07 18:38 UTC LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Sagesse Beirut 90:78 Al-Riyadi Beyrut

27.07 16:40 UTC LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Sagesse Beirut 85:87 Al-Riyadi Beyrut

25.07 16:30 UTC LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Sagesse Beirut 101:96 Al-Riyadi Beyrut

3 Wins

2 Losses

83.6 Scored

80.6 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAl-Riyadi Beirut - Sagesse Beirut

Al-Riyadi Beirut

3 matches total

Sagesse Beirut

Al-Riyadi Beirut: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Sagesse Beirut: 3 (100%)

Biggest win Sagesse Beirut 43:56 (01.08 18:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 185 goals (99:86, 31.07 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

01.08 18:30 UTC LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Al-Riyadi Beyrut

43:56

Sagesse Beirut

31.07 16:30 UTC LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Al-Riyadi Beyrut

99:86

Sagesse Beirut

28.07 18:38 UTC LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Al-Riyadi Beyrut

78:90

Sagesse Beirut