LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff
Al Markazia - Sagesse Beirut
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Al Markazia — 52%
Model estimate: win Al Markazia 52.0%, win Sagesse Beirut 48.0%. Model favourite — Al Markazia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Al Markazia - Sagesse Beirut 14 июля 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sagesse Beirut.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
- Glicko: Al Markazia 52.0% / Sagesse Beirut 48.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Al Markazia - Sagesse Beirut
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 -1.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П1 -2.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.88 53.2% |
| П2 +11.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +12.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 +4.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 +5.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +6.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 +7.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 +8.5 | 1.88 53.2% |
| П2 +9.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.88 53.2% |
| П2 -3.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 -4.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -6.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 175.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 177.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 178.5 | 1.88 53.2% |
| ТБ 179.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 181.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 182.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 183.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 186.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 187.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 188.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТБ 189.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 190.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 191.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТБ 192.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 193.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
| ТБ 194.5 | 1.78 56.2% |
| ТБ 195.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 196.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 11.00 9.1% |
| П2 | 1.01 99.0% |
Al Markazia
Hoops
Hoops
Sagesse Beirut
Hoops
Hoops
Full head-to-head historyAl Markazia - Sagesse Beirut