LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

15.07.2026 18:30 MSK Match prediction

15.07.2026 18:30 MSK

Finished

LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Sagesse Beirut - Al Markazia

Basketball

Sagesse Beirut

74 : 75

Finished

Al Markazia

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sagesse Beirut — 55%

1 · Sagesse Beirut54.7%

2 · Al Markazia45.3%

Model estimate: win Sagesse Beirut 54.7%, win Al Markazia 45.3%. Model favourite — Sagesse Beirut.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sagesse Beirut (odds1.42) confidence 57% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sagesse Beirut - Al Markazia 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sagesse Beirut.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sagesse Beirut. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / 2 5.00
Glicko: Sagesse Beirut 54.7% / Al Markazia 45.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 10.9%

1 82.0%

2 18.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Победитель П1 1.35 ↑ 1.38

Победитель П2 2.95 ↓ 2.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sagesse Beirut

4-1WLWWW

points for 103.0points against 91.9

Al Markazia

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Start 15.07.2026 18:30 MSK

Form 5 matches

H2H 2

Match center

Sagesse Beirut - Al Markazia

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 2 очных встреч.

Form 1/3 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 74:75

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Sagesse Beirut 67.0% 54.7% market and model agree

Al Markazia 33.0% 45.3%

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 54.7% / 45.3% probabilities

Rating 2,254 / 1,594 Sagesse Beirut / Al Markazia

RD 287 / 234 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,680-2,829 / 1,125-2,063 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.00 Fonbet · weak value +126.7% · model 45.3%

1 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 54.7%

Total

Over 148.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Over 149.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
П1 -1.5	2.02 49.5%
П1 -10.5	1.80 55.6%
П1 -11.5	1.85 54.1%
П1 -2.5	1.83 54.6%
П1 -3.5	1.95 51.3%
П1 -4.5	1.80 55.6%
П1 -5.5	1.85 54.1%
П2 -1.5	1.70 58.8%
П2 -10.5	1.90 52.6%
П2 -11.5	1.85 54.1%
П2 -2.5	1.87 53.5%
П2 -3.5	1.75 57.1%
П2 -4.5	1.90 52.6%
П2 -5.5	1.85 54.1%
П2 -6.5	1.85 54.1%
П2 -7.5	1.88 53.2%
П2 -8.5	1.88 53.2%
П2 -9.5	1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
ТБ 148.5	1.95 51.3%
ТБ 149.5	1.83 54.6%
ТБ 150.5	1.85 54.1%
ТБ 151.5	1.82 55.0%
ТБ 152.5	1.92 52.1%
ТБ 153.5	1.80 55.6%
ТБ 154.5	1.95 51.3%
ТБ 156.5	1.85 54.1%
ТБ 157.5	1.90 52.6%
ТБ 158.5	1.87 53.5%
ТБ 159.5	1.83 54.6%
ТБ 160.5	1.85 54.1%
ТБ 165.5	1.90 52.6%
ТБ 166.5	1.80 55.6%
ТБ 167.5	1.87 53.5%
ТБ 168.5	1.80 55.6%
ТБ 169.5	1.87 53.5%
ТБ 170.5	1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
П1	1.10 90.9%
П2	5.00 20.0%

Match center

Sagesse Beirut

14.07 19:30 МСК LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Sagesse Beirut 100:93 Al Markazia

1 Wins

0 Losses

100.0 Scored

93.0 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Al Markazia

L W W

14.07 19:30 МСК LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Al Markazia 93:100 Sagesse Beirut

12.06 14:45 МСК LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Al Markazia 68:62 Hoops

08.06 14:45 МСК LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Al Markazia 114:72 Hoops

2 Wins

1 Losses

91.7 Scored

78.0 Conceded

67% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySagesse Beirut - Al Markazia

Sagesse Beirut

1 matches total

Al Markazia

Sagesse Beirut: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Al Markazia: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Sagesse Beirut 100:93 (14.07 19:30 МСК) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 193 goals (100:93, 14.07 19:30 МСК) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

14.07 19:30 МСК LIVAN: Division 1 - Playoff

Sagesse Beirut

100:93

Al Markazia