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Lebanon. First Division. Semi-finals. Best of 5
Lebanon. First Division. Semi-finals. Best of 5
30.05.2026 15:45 UTC
30.05.2026 15:45 UTC
Finished

Lebanon. First Division. Semi-finals. Best of 5

Sagesse Beirut - Al-Riyadi Beirut

Basketball
Sagesse Beirut
Sagesse Beirut
- : -
Finished
Al-Riyadi Beirut
Al-Riyadi Beirut

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sagesse Beirut - Al-Riyadi Beirut May 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Al-Riyadi Beirut. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.00 / 2 1.02

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.5%
1 11.3%
2 88.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sagesse Beirut
4-1WLWWW
points for 103.0points against 91.9
Al-Riyadi Beirut
1-4LWLLL
points for 86.9points against 86.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 30.05.2026 15:45 UTC
Match center

Sagesse Beirut - Al-Riyadi Beirut

Array

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 169.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Over 171.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.83 54.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.95 51.3%
1.80 55.6%
1.78 56.2%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.92 52.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 169.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 171.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 174.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 175.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 176.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 178.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 179.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 180.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 181.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 183.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 184.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 186.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 187.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 191.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 194.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 195.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 196.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 198.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
8.00 12.5%
1.02 98.0%
Match center
Al-Riyadi Beirut
W
28.05 11:45 UTC LIVAN: Division 1
Al-Riyadi Beirut 96:73 Beirut Club
1 Wins
0 Losses
96.0 Scored
73.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage