Abejas de Leon face Astros Jalisco on August 6, 2026 in the LNBP, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Abejas de Leon 3-0-2, Astros Jalisco 4-0-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Abejas de Leon — 55%
55%1
1 · Abejas de Leon ✓ Pick55.2%
2 · Astros Jalisco44.8%
Model estimate: win Abejas de Leon 55.2%, win Astros Jalisco 44.8%. Model favourite — Abejas de Leon.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Abejas de Leon (odds2.07)Score 81:79Under 166.5(odds2.03)Handicap H1 +2.5(odds1.85)confidence 55%
•Abekhas de Leon: forma P (0-1)
•Astros Khalisko: forma P (0-1)
•Model backs Abekhas de Leon: probability 55% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.07)
•edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
•Total: Under 166.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
•at line 166.5 (odds 2.03)
•Handicap F1 +2.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Abejas de Leon - Astros Jalisco August 6, 2026
Basketball math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Astros Jalisco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.07 / 2 1.67
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick44.7%
255.4%
Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P12.07→ 2.07
Winner P21.67→ 1.67
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Start06.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market1 44.7% @ 2.07 / 2 55.3% @ 1.67
Form2 matches
Match center
Abejas de Leon - Astros Jalisco
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Lineup / squadChampionat, Injuries
Market and Glicko
Basketball math model.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Abejas de Leon44.7%55.2%Glicko contrarian
Astros Jalisco55.4%44.8%market favourite
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Basketball math model
P1 / P255.2% / 44.8%
probabilities
Rating1,343 / 1,236
Abejas de Leon / Astros Jalisco
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.67
Fonbet · no value · model 44.8%
12.07
Fonbet · value +14.3% · model 55.2%
Total
Over 166.51.70
Fonbet · line only
Over 167.51.77
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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