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LNBP
LNBP International
01.08.2026 01:15 UTC
01.08.2026 01:15 UTC
Not started

LNBP

Correcaminos de la UAT - Santos San Luis

International Basketball
Correcaminos de la UAT
Correcaminos de la UAT
- : -
Not started
Santos San Luis
Santos San Luis
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Correcaminos de la UAT — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · Correcaminos de la UAT): model 50% · market 55% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Correcaminos de la UAT ✓ Pick55.5%
2 · Santos San Luis44.5%

Model estimate: win Correcaminos de la UAT 55.5%, win Santos San Luis 44.5%. Model favourite — Correcaminos de la UAT.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Correcaminos de la UAT - Santos San Luis August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Correcaminos de la UAT. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.67 / 2 2.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 55.3%
2 44.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.67 → 1.67
Pobeditel P2 2.07 → 2.07

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 01:15 UTC
Match center

Correcaminos de la UAT - Santos San Luis

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Correcaminos de la UAT 55.9% 55.5% market and model agree
Santos San Luis 44.2% 44.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 55.5% / 44.5% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Correcaminos de la UAT / Santos San Luis
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.07 Fonbet · no value · model 44.5%
1 1.67 Fonbet · no value · model 55.5%
Total
Over 174.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 174.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
— — 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 174.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 174.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.66 60.2% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9%
2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3%