•Model backs Dorados: probability 52% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.82)
•no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
•Total: Under 165.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
•at line 165.5 (odds 2.03)
•Handicap F1 -1.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.90).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dorados - Diablos Rojos August 1, 2026
Basketball math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Dorados. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.82 / 2 1.88
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.1%
150.8%
249.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P11.82→ 1.82
Pobeditel P21.88→ 1.88
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:1/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated30.07.2026 10:05 UTC
152%✓ favourite
248%
Score86:83Total points: Under 171.5Bet:1
Per AI dataH2H: 6:6
AI
1
2
Score
Total points
Bet
Google AI
52%
48%
86:83
Under 171.5
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Match center
Start01.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Form3 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI modelsDorados 52%
📐 Math modelDorados 52%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Dorados - Diablos Rojos
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form2/1
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Lineup / squadChampionat, Injuries
Market and Glicko
Basketball math model.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Dorados50.8%51.6%market and model agree
Diablos Rojos49.2%48.4%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Basketball math model
P1 / P251.6% / 48.4%
probabilities
Rating1,787 / 1,302
Dorados / Diablos Rojos
RD274 / 290
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,240-2,334 / 723-1,882
strength interval
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.88
Fonbet · no value · model 48.4%
11.82
Fonbet · no value · model 51.6%
Total
Over 165.51.70
Fonbet · line only
Over 166.51.75
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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