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Mexico. LNBP
Mexico. LNBP
11.08.2026 02:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
11.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Not started

Mexico. LNBP

Dorados - Gambusinos

Basketball
Дорадос
Dorados
- : -
Not started
Gambusinos
Gambusinos

Dorados face Gambusinos on August 11, 2026 in the Mexico. LNBP.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dorados 4-0-1, Gambusinos 0-5. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Dorados — 64%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dorados):model 65% · market 64% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Dorados✓ Pick63.8%
market64%
2 · Gambusinos36.2%
market36%

Model estimate: win Dorados 63.8%, win Gambusinos 36.2%. Model favourite — Dorados.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dorados (odds1.34) Score 83:77 confidence 69%
  • • Dorados: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Gambusinos: forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • • Model backs Dorados: probability 69% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.34)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dorados - Gambusinos August 11, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Dorados. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.46 / 2 2.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2% 5 books
1 ✓ Pick 63.8%
2 36.3%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Dorados
64%
1.46
Gambusinos
36%
2.60
Total
Over 160.5
50%
1.89
Under 160.5
50%
1.88

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Dorados
#111 ptsGP 65-1
Gambusinos
#58 ptsGP 62-4

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

20Wins12
89.2Points on average84.7

Head-to-head matches: 32 · average total 173.9 (points)

Team form

Dorados
7-3WWLLWWWLWW
points for 84.4points against 80.1
Gambusinos
4-6WWLLWLLLWL
points for 79.2points against 84.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated10.08.2026 22:50 UTC
1 64% ✓ favourite
2 36%
Score86:74 Total points: TM 168.5 Bet:F1(-4.5)
Per AI data Form:WWWWW / LWWLL H2H: 3:1 Injuries:no key injuries
AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 64% 36% 86:74 TM 168.5 F1(-4.5)

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 11.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 64.0% @ 1.46 / 2 36.0% @ 2.60
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Dorados64%
📐 Math model Dorados64%
💹 Market Dorados64%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Dorados - Gambusinos

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dorados 63.8% 63.8% market and model agree
Gambusinos 36.3% 36.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 63.8% / 36.2% probabilities
Rating 2,089 / 832 Dorados / Gambusinos
RD 205 / 220 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,678-2,499 / 392-1,273 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.56 market consensus · no value · model 36.2%
1 1.45 market consensus · no value · model 63.8%
Total
Over 157.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Over 158.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.85 54.1% —
1.81 55.3% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.90 52.6% —
1.81 55.3% —
1.91 52.4% —
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.89 52.9% 1.89 52.9%
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3%
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 157.5 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5%
Over 158.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 159.5 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5%
Over 160.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%
Over 161.5 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
Under 157.5 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6%
Under 158.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
Under 159.5 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6%
Under 160.5 1.88 53.2% —
Under 161.5 1.81 55.3% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4%
2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.60 38.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 5-0-3
2025-10-04 · Dorados de Chikhuakhua 94:91 Gambusinos
2025-10-03 · Dorados de Chikhuakhua 131:75 Gambusinos
2025-07-13 · Dorados de Chikhuakhua 83:64 Gambusinos
2025-07-12 · Dorados de Chikhuakhua 80:88 Gambusinos
2024-10-06 · Dorados de Chikhuakhua 92:96 Gambusinos
Source: ruscore
Dorados
L W W W
2026-08-02 LNBP 2026
Dorados Dorados de Chihuahua 67:87 Diablos Rojos Del Mexico
2026-08-01 LNBP 2026
Dorados Dorados de Chihuahua 86:70 Diablos Rojos Del Mexico
2026-07-26 LNBP 2026
Dorados Dorados de Chihuahua 89:79 Freseros de Irapuato
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026
Dorados Dorados de Chihuahua 84:80 Freseros de Irapuato
3 Wins
1 Losses
81.5 Scored
79.0 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Gambusinos
L L
2026-08-01 LNBP 2026
Soles de Mexicali 71:57 Gambusinos De Fresnillo Gambusinos
2026-07-31 LNBP 2026
Soles de Mexicali 69:62 Gambusinos De Fresnillo Gambusinos
0 Wins
2 Losses
59.5 Scored
70.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDorados - Gambusinos

Dorados
3 matches total
Gambusinos
Dorados: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Gambusinos: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Dorados de Chihuahua 131:75 (2025-10-03) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 206 goals (131:75, 2025-10-03) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2025-10-04 LNBP 2026
Dorados de Chihuahua 94:91 Gambusinos De Fresnillo
2025-10-03 LNBP 2026
Dorados de Chihuahua 131:75 Gambusinos De Fresnillo
2025-07-13 LNBP 2026
Gambusinos De Fresnillo 64:83 Dorados de Chihuahua