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LNBP
LNBP International
31.07.2026 01:15 UTC
31.07.2026 01:15 UTC
Not started

LNBP

El Calor de Cancun - Abejas de Leon

International Basketball
El Calor de Cancun
El Calor de Cancun
- : -
Not started
Abejas de Leon
Abejas de Leon
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 El Calor de Cancun — 50%

1 · El Calor de Cancun50.3%
2 · Abejas de Leon49.7%

Model estimate: win El Calor de Cancun 50.3%, win Abejas de Leon 49.7%. Model favourite — El Calor de Cancun.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1El Calor de Cancun (odds1.50) Score 81:79 Under 170.5 (odds2.03) Handicap H2 +4.5 (odds1.85) confidence 50%
  • • Model backs El Kalor de Kankun: probability 50% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 170.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 170.5 (odds 2.03)
  • • Handicap F2 +4.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction El Calor de Cancun - Abejas de Leon July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: El Calor de Cancun. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / 2 2.42

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 61.7%
2 38.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.50 → 1.50
Pobeditel P2 2.42 → 2.42

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 01:15 UTC
Match center

El Calor de Cancun - Abejas de Leon

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
El Calor de Cancun 61.7% 50.3% market and model agree
Abejas de Leon 38.3% 49.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 50.3% / 49.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 El Calor de Cancun / Abejas de Leon
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.42 Fonbet · weak value +20.2% · model 49.7%
1 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 50.3%
Total
Over 170.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 171.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
— 1.67 59.9%
— 1.75 57.1%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
— 1.96 51.0%
— 2.07 48.3%
1.86 53.8% —
— 2.07 48.3%
— 1.96 51.0%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.75 57.1%
— 1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 170.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 171.5 — 1.77 56.5%
Over 172.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
Over 173.5 — 1.94 51.6%
Over 174.5 — 2.03 49.3%
Under 170.5 — 2.03 49.3%
Under 171.5 — 1.94 51.6%
Under 172.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
Under 173.5 — 1.77 56.5%
Under 174.5 — 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
2.45 40.8% 2.42 41.3%