Lobos Plateados face Soles de Mexicali on August 6, 2026 in the LNBP, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Lobos Plateados 3-0-2, Soles de Mexicali 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Soles de Mexicali — 53%
53%2
1 · Lobos Plateados46.7%
2 · Soles de Mexicali53.3%
Model estimate: win Lobos Plateados 46.7%, win Soles de Mexicali 53.3%. Model favourite — Soles de Mexicali.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Soles de Mexicali (odds1.77)Score 79:81Under 162.5(odds2.03)Handicap H2 -1.5(odds1.85)confidence 53%
•Lobos Plateados: forma PPVV (2)
•Soles de Meksikali: forma V (1-0)
•Model backs Soles de Meksikali: probability 53% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.77)
•no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
•Total: Under 162.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
•at line 162.5 (odds 2.03)
•Handicap F2 -1.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lobos Plateados - Soles de Mexicali August 6, 2026
Basketball math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Lobos Plateados. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.77 / 2 1.94
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.0%
152.3%
247.7%
Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P11.94→ 1.94
Winner P21.77→ 1.77
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Start06.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market1 52.3% @ 1.77 / 2 47.7% @ 1.94
Form4 matches
Match center
Lobos Plateados - Soles de Mexicali
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Lineup / squadChampionat, Injuries
Market and Glicko
Basketball math model.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Lobos Plateados47.7%46.7%
Soles de Mexicali52.3%53.3%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Basketball math model
P1 / P246.7% / 53.3%
probabilities
Rating1,787 / 1,959
Lobos Plateados / Soles de Mexicali
RD225 / 290
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,336-2,238 / 1,379-2,538
strength interval
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.94
Fonbet · weak value +3.5% · model 53.3%
11.77
Fonbet · no value · model 46.7%
Total
Over 162.51.70
Fonbet · line only
Over 163.51.77
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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