PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Mali. Premer Division
Mali. Premer Division International
14.07.2026 18:00 MSK Match prediction
14.07.2026 18:00 MSK
Finished

Mali. Premer Division

Stade - Djoliba AC

International Basketball
Stade
Stade
46 : 49
Finished
Djoliba AC
Djoliba AC
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Stade — 59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Stade): model 52% · market 23% Δ +29 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Stade ✓ Прогноз58.8%
market23%
2 · Djoliba AC41.2%
market77%

Model estimate: win Stade 58.8%, win Djoliba AC 41.2%. Model favourite — Stade.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Stade (odds1.67) confidence 55% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade - Djoliba AC 14 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Djoliba AC.

Line favourite Fonbet: Djoliba AC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.90 / 2 1.19
  • Glicko: Stade 58.8% / Djoliba AC 41.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 ✓ Прогноз 23.4%
2 76.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.67 → 1.67
Победитель П2 2.07 → 2.07

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 18:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Stade - Djoliba AC

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 2 очных встреч.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 46:49
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Stade 59.4% 58.8% market and model agree
Djoliba AC 40.6% 41.2%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 58.8% / 41.2% probabilities
Rating 1,611 / 1,600 Stade / Djoliba AC
RD 230 / 227 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,151-2,070 / 1,147-2,053 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.19 Fonbet · no value · model 41.2%
1 3.90 Fonbet · weak value +129.4% · model 58.8%
Total
Over 100.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -2.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
П1 -3.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% —
П2 +2.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
П2 +3.5 1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5% —
П2 -1.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
П2 -10.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
П2 -12.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
П2 -13.5 — — 1.78 56.2%
П2 -14.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
П2 -15.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
П2 -16.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
П2 -18.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
П2 -19.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
П2 -2.5 — — 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 100.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 101.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 102.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 103.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 104.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 105.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 106.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 109.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 111.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 112.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 113.5 — — 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 115.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 117.5 — — 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 118.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 135.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —
ТМ 135.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.54 64.9% 1.55 64.5% 3.90 25.6% 1.60 62.5%
П2 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 1.19 84.0% 2.30 43.5%
Match center
Stade
W L W L W
25.06 15:00 UTC+0 Fonbet basketball live
Stade 56:45 Джолиба
10.06 19:00 UTC+0 Fonbet basketball live
Stade 22:25 КРБТ
07.06 17:00 UTC+0 Fonbet basketball live
Stade 30:27 Кукия БК
04.06 13:00 UTC+0 Fonbet basketball live
Stade 31:50 Юсфас
24.05 12:00 UTC+0 Fonbet basketball live
Stade 75:72 Джолиба
3 Wins
2 Losses
42.8 Scored
43.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Djoliba AC
W L W L
27.06 14:00 UTC+0 Fonbet basketball live
Djoliba AC 71:53 Юсфас
25.06 15:00 UTC+0 Fonbet basketball live
Djoliba AC 45:56 Стад
10.06 12:58 UTC+0 Fonbet basketball live
Djoliba AC 43:36 Кукия БК
24.05 12:00 UTC+0 Fonbet basketball live
Djoliba AC 72:75 Стад
2 Wins
2 Losses
57.8 Scored
55.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStade - Djoliba AC

Stade
2 matches total
Djoliba AC
Stade: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Djoliba AC: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Стад 56:45 (25.06 15:00 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 147 goals (75:72, 24.05 12:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

25.06 15:00 UTC+0 Fonbet basketball live
Стад
56:45
Джолиба
24.05 12:00 UTC+0 Fonbet basketball live
Стад
75:72
Джолиба