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Mexico. LNBP
Mexico. LNBP
29.07.2026 00:15 UTC
29.07.2026 00:15 UTC
Not started

Mexico. LNBP

Astros Jalisco - Correcaminos de la UAT

Basketball
Astros Jalisco
Astros Jalisco
- : -
Not started
C
Correcaminos de la UAT
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Astros Jalisco — 84%

Pure model vs market (1 · Astros Jalisco): model 64% · market 85% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Astros Jalisco ✓ Pick83.9%
market85%
2 · Correcaminos de la UAT16.1%
market15%

Model estimate: win Astros Jalisco 83.9%, win Correcaminos de la UAT 16.1%. Model favourite — Astros Jalisco.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Astros Jalisco - Correcaminos de la UAT July 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Astros Jalisco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 6.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 ✓ Pick 85.4%
2 14.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.09 ↓ 1.08
Pobeditel P2 6.00 ↑ 6.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Astros Jalisco
1-4LLLWL
points for 91.8points against 94.9
Correcaminos de la UAT

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 00:15 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Astros Jalisco - Correcaminos de la UAT

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Astros Jalisco 85.4% 83.9% market and model agree
Correcaminos de la UAT 14.6% 16.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 83.9% / 16.1% probabilities
Rating 2,047 / 1,185 Astros Jalisco / Correcaminos de la UAT
RD 187 / 275 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,674-2,420 / 636-1,734 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.30 Fonbet · no value · model 16.1%
1 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 83.9%
Total
Over 165.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 166.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
— 1.67 59.9%
— 1.67 59.9%
— 1.67 59.9%
1.87 53.5% 1.75 57.1%
1.81 55.3% 1.85 54.1%
— 1.96 51.0%
1.83 54.6% —
1.89 52.9% —
— 2.07 48.3%
— 2.07 48.3%
— 2.07 48.3%
— 1.96 51.0%
— 1.85 54.1%
— 1.75 57.1%
— 1.67 59.9%
— 1.64 61.0%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 165.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 166.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 167.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 168.5 1.83 54.6% 1.70 58.8%
Over 169.5 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1%
Over 170.5 — 1.70 58.8%
Over 171.5 — 1.77 56.5%
Over 172.5 1.81 55.3% 1.85 54.1%
Over 173.5 1.84 54.4% 1.94 51.6%
Over 174.5 — 2.03 49.3%
Under 168.5 1.87 53.5% —
Under 169.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 172.5 1.89 52.9% —
Under 173.5 1.86 53.8% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7%
6.80 14.7% 6.30 15.9% 6.20 16.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 6-0-1
2026-07-28 · Astros de Khalisko 93:86 Korrekaminos Uat Viktoriya
2025-07-30 · Astros de Khalisko 91:69 Korrekaminos Uat Viktoriya
2025-07-29 · Astros de Khalisko 90:80 Korrekaminos Uat Viktoriya
2024-08-11 · Astros de Khalisko 92:80 Korrekaminos Uat Viktoriya
2024-08-10 · Astros de Khalisko 73:75 Korrekaminos Uat Viktoriya
Source: ruscore
Astros Jalisco
W W L
28.07 00:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Astros Jalisco 93:86 Korrekaminos
26.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Astros Jalisco 88:80 Gambusinos
25.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Astros Jalisco 71:86 Gambusinos
2 Wins
1 Losses
84.0 Scored
84.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Correcaminos de la UAT
L L L
28.07 00:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Correcaminos de la UAT 86:93 AstrosAstros
25.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Correcaminos de la UAT 89:101 Abekhas
24.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Correcaminos de la UAT 88:95 Abekhas
0 Wins
3 Losses
87.7 Scored
96.3 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAstros Jalisco - Correcaminos de la UAT

Astros Jalisco
1 matches total
Correcaminos de la UAT
Astros Jalisco: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Correcaminos de la UAT: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Astros 93:86 (28.07 00:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 179 goals (93:86, 28.07 00:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

28.07 00:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Astros
93:86
Korrekaminos