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Mexico. LNBP

02.08.2026 00:15 UTC Match prediction

02.08.2026 00:15 UTC

Finished

Mexico. LNBP

Astros Jalisco - Lobos Plateados

Basketball

Astros Jalisco

47 : 45

Finished

Lobos Plateados

Astros Jalisco face Lobos Plateados on August 2, 2026 in the Mexico. LNBP.

Recent form (W-D-L): Astros Jalisco 4-0-1, Lobos Plateados 2-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 64% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Astros Jalisco — 64%

Pure model vs market (1 · Astros Jalisco): model 60% · market 64% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Astros Jalisco ✓ Pick63.5%

market64%

2 · Lobos Plateados36.5%

market36%

Model estimate: win Astros Jalisco 63.5%, win Lobos Plateados 36.5%. Model favourite — Astros Jalisco.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Astros Jalisco (odds1.42) Score 82:78 confidence 65% ✓ outcome correct

• Astros: forma VVVPV (4-1)
• Lobos Plateados: forma VV (2-0)
• Model backs Astros: probability 65% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.42)
• no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Astros Jalisco - Lobos Plateados August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Astros Jalisco.

Line favourite market consensus: Astros Jalisco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.45 / 2 2.61
Glicko: Astros Jalisco 63.5% / Lobos Plateados 36.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.3%

1 ✓ Pick 64.3%

2 35.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Astros Jalisco

1-4LLLWL

points for 91.8points against 94.9

Lobos Plateados

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Start 02.08.2026 00:15 UTC

Market 1 64.3% @ 1.45 / 2 35.7% @ 2.61

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Astros Jalisco - Lobos Plateados

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/3 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 47:45

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 63.4% fact: home hit / ROI 45.0% / Brier 0.268 / LogLoss 0.456

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 55.3% fact: home hit / ROI 45.0% / Brier 0.399 / LogLoss 0.592

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Astros Jalisco 63.8% 63.5% market and model agree

Lobos Plateados 36.3% 36.5%

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 63.5% / 36.5% probabilities

Rating 2,083 / 1,787 Astros Jalisco / Lobos Plateados

RD 176 / 225 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,731-2,434 / 1,337-2,238 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.57 market consensus · no value · model 36.5%

1 1.45 market consensus · no value · model 63.5%

Total

Over 164.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Over 165.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
1.84 54.4%	1.84 54.4%	1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%
1.86 53.8%	1.86 53.8%	1.96 51.0%
1.81 55.3%	1.81 55.3%	1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
Over 164.5	1.86 53.8%	1.86 53.8%	—
Over 165.5	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%	—
Over 166.5	—	—	1.83 54.6%
Over 167.5	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%
Over 168.5	—	—	1.95 51.3%
Under 164.5	1.84 54.4%	1.84 54.4%	—
Under 165.5	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	—
Under 166.5	—	—	1.83 54.6%
Under 167.5	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%
Under 168.5	—	—	1.74 57.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	1.45 69.0%	1.45 69.0%	1.44 69.4%
	2.55 39.2%	2.55 39.2%	2.61 38.3%

Match center

Astros Jalisco

W W W W L

01.08 02:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Astros Jalisco 47:45 Lobos Plateados

29.07 00:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Astros Jalisco 94:74 Korrekaminos

28.07 00:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Astros Jalisco 93:86 Korrekaminos

26.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Astros Jalisco 88:80 Gambusinos

25.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Astros Jalisco 71:86 Gambusinos

4 Wins

1 Losses

78.6 Scored

74.2 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Lobos Plateados

L W W

01.08 02:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Lobos Plateados 45:47 Astros

25.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Lobos Plateados 80:63 El Calor de Cancun

24.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Lobos Plateados 96:93 El Calor de Cancun

2 Wins

1 Losses

73.7 Scored

67.7 Conceded

67% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAstros Jalisco - Lobos Plateados

Astros Jalisco

1 matches total

Lobos Plateados

Astros Jalisco: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Lobos Plateados: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Astros 47:45 (01.08 02:15 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 92 goals (47:45, 01.08 02:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

01.08 02:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Astros

47:45

Lobos Plateados