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Mexico. LNBP
Mexico. LNBP
01.08.2026 01:15 UTC
01.08.2026 01:15 UTC
Not started

Mexico. LNBP

El Calor de Cancun - Abejas de Leon

Basketball
E
El Calor de Cancun
- : -
Not started
A
Abejas de Leon
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 El Calor de Cancun — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · El Calor de Cancun): model 60% · market 57% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market

1 · El Calor de Cancun ✓ Pick57.3%
2 · Abejas de Leon42.7%

Model estimate: win El Calor de Cancun 57.3%, win Abejas de Leon 42.7%. Model favourite — El Calor de Cancun.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1El Calor de Cancun (odds1.49) Score 82:78 confidence 62%
  • • El Calor de Cancun: forma VPPVP (2-3)
  • • Abekhas: forma PVV (2-1)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs El Calor de Cancun: probability 62% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.49)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction El Calor de Cancun - Abejas de Leon August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: El Calor de Cancun. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / 2 2.15

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 57.0%
2 43.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 01:15 UTC
Market 1 57.0% @ 1.62 / 2 43.0% @ 2.15
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

El Calor de Cancun - Abejas de Leon

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
El Calor de Cancun 57.0% 57.3% market and model agree
Abejas de Leon 43.0% 42.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 57.3% / 42.7% probabilities
Rating 1,652 / 1,339 El Calor de Cancun / Abejas de Leon
RD 202 / 251 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,248-2,057 / 838-1,841 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.15 market consensus · no value · model 42.7%
1 1.62 market consensus · no value · model 57.3%
Total
Over 164.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Over 165.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% —
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.77 56.5%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
— — 2.64 37.9%
1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
— — 1.95 51.3%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.43 69.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 164.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% —
Over 165.5 — — 1.74 57.5%
Over 166.5 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6%
Over 167.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% —
Under 164.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% —
Under 165.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
Under 166.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6%
Under 167.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7%
2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5%
Match center
El Calor de Cancun
W L
30.07 23:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP
El Calor de Cancun 80:76 Abekhas
25.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
El Calor de Cancun 63:80 Lobos Plateados
1 Wins
1 Losses
71.5 Scored
78.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Abejas de Leon
L W
30.07 23:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Abejas de Leon 76:80 El Calor de Cancun
25.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Abejas de Leon 101:89 Korrekaminos
1 Wins
1 Losses
88.5 Scored
84.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEl Calor de Cancun - Abejas de Leon

El Calor de Cancun
1 matches total
Abejas de Leon
El Calor de Cancun: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Abejas de Leon: 0 (0%)
Biggest win El Calor de Cancun 80:76 (30.07 23:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 156 goals (80:76, 30.07 23:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

30.07 23:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
80:76
Abekhas