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Mexico. LNBP
Mexico. LNBP
29.07.2026 23:15 UTC
29.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Not started

Mexico. LNBP

El Calor de Cancun - Abejas de Leon

Basketball
E
El Calor de Cancun
- : -
Not started
A
Abejas de Leon
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Abejas de Leon — 60%

1 · El Calor de Cancun40.2%
market62%
2 · Abejas de Leon ✓ Pick59.8%
market38%

Model estimate: win El Calor de Cancun 40.2%, win Abejas de Leon 59.8%. Model favourite — Abejas de Leon.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Abejas de Leon (odds2.45) Score 79:81 confidence 60%
  • • El Calor de Cancun: forma PPVPP (1-4)
  • • Abekhas: forma VV (2-0)
  • • Model backs Abekhas: probability 60% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.45)
  • • edge over the line +19 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction El Calor de Cancun - Abejas de Leon July 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: El Calor de Cancun. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / 2 2.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 62.2%
2 ✓ Pick 37.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Form 5 matches
Match center

El Calor de Cancun - Abejas de Leon

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
El Calor de Cancun 62.2% 40.2% market favourite
Abejas de Leon 37.8% 59.8% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 40.2% / 59.8% probabilities
Rating 1,381 / 1,809 El Calor de Cancun / Abejas de Leon
RD 214 / 277 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 953-1,809 / 1,255-2,363 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.45 market consensus · value +46.6% · model 59.8%
1 1.49 market consensus · no value · model 40.2%
Total
Over 172.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 172.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 172.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 172.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
1.49 67.1%
2.45 40.8%
Match center
El Calor de Cancun
L L
25.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
El Calor de Cancun 63:80 Lobos Plateados
24.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
El Calor de Cancun 93:96 Lobos Plateados
0 Wins
2 Losses
78.0 Scored
88.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Abejas de Leon
W W
25.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Abejas de Leon 101:89 Korrekaminos
24.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Abejas de Leon 95:88 Korrekaminos
2 Wins
0 Losses
98.0 Scored
88.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage