Mexico. LNBP
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 El Calor de Cancun — 57%
Pure model vs market (1 · El Calor de Cancun): model 40% · market 58% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win El Calor de Cancun 56.6%, win Abejas de Leon 43.4%. Model favourite — El Calor de Cancun.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 172.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 174.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 172.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 174.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.58 63.3% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.24 44.6% |
Full head-to-head historyEl Calor de Cancun - Abejas de Leon
The El Calor de Cancun - Abejas de Leon breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
