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Mexico. LNBP
Mexico. LNBP
30.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Not started

Mexico. LNBP

Freseros - Mineros de Zacatecas

Basketball
F
Freseros
- : -
Not started
M
Mineros de Zacatecas
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Mineros de Zacatecas58%

Pure model vs market (2 · Mineros de Zacatecas): model 50% · market 59% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Freseros41.6%
market41%
2 · Mineros de Zacatecas58.4%
market59%

Model estimate: win Freseros 41.6%, win Mineros de Zacatecas 58.4%. Model favourite — Mineros de Zacatecas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Mineros de Zacatecas (odds1.57) Score 79:81 Under 166.5 (odds2.03) Handicap H1 +3.5 (odds1.85) confidence 58%
  • Freseros: forma pp (0-2)
  • Mineros: forma pp (0-2)
  • Model backs Mineros: probability 58% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.57)
  • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 166.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 166.5 (odds 2.03)
  • Handicap F1 +3.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Freseros - Mineros de Zacatecas July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mineros de Zacatecas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / 2 1.57

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 41.1%
2 58.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.25 → 2.25
Pobeditel P2 1.57 → 1.57

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Form 4 matches
Match center

Freseros - Mineros de Zacatecas

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Freseros 40.9% 41.6%
Mineros de Zacatecas 59.1% 58.4% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 41.6% / 58.4% probabilities
Rating 1,213 / 1,273 Freseros / Mineros de Zacatecas
RD 274 / 257 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 666-1,760 / 759-1,787 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.57 Fonbet · no value · model 58.4%
1 2.25 Fonbet · no value · model 41.6%
Total
Over 166.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 167.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.07 48.3%
1.96 51.0%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.67 59.9%
1.75 57.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.96 51.0%
2.07 48.3%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 166.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 167.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 168.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
Over 169.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 170.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 166.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 167.5 1.94 51.6%
Under 168.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
Under 169.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 170.5 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.27 44.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1%
1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1%
Match center
Freseros
L L
25.07 22:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Freseros 79:89 Dorados
25.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Freseros 80:84 Dorados
0 Wins
2 Losses
79.5 Scored
86.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Mineros de Zacatecas
L L
25.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Mineros de Zacatecas 80:95 Santos
24.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Mineros de Zacatecas 86:87 Santos
0 Wins
2 Losses
83.0 Scored
91.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage