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Mexico. LNBP
Mexico. LNBP
01.08.2026 02:00 UTC
01.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Not started

Mexico. LNBP

Freseros de Irapuato - Mineros de Zacatecas

Basketball
F
Freseros de Irapuato
- : -
Not started
M
Mineros de Zacatecas
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Mineros de Zacatecas — 63%

Pure model vs market (2 · Mineros de Zacatecas): model 39% · market 65% Δ −26 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Freseros de Irapuato36.7%
market35%
2 · Mineros de Zacatecas ✓ Pick63.3%
market65%

Model estimate: win Freseros de Irapuato 36.7%, win Mineros de Zacatecas 63.3%. Model favourite — Mineros de Zacatecas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Mineros de Zacatecas (odds1.42) Score 78:82 Under 171.5 (odds2.03) Handicap H1 +5.5 (odds1.85) confidence 63%
  • • Freseros: forma VPP (1-2)
  • • Mineros: forma PPP (0-3)
  • • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Mineros: probability 63% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.42)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 171.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 171.5 (odds 2.03)
  • • Handicap F1 +5.5: score forecast 78:82 (diff -4) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Freseros de Irapuato - Mineros de Zacatecas August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mineros de Zacatecas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.65 / 2 1.42

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 34.9%
2 ✓ Pick 65.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 2.65 → 2.65
Pobeditel P2 1.42 → 1.42

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 34.9% @ 2.65 / 2 65.1% @ 1.42
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Freseros de Irapuato - Mineros de Zacatecas

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Freseros de Irapuato 34.9% 36.7%
Mineros de Zacatecas 65.1% 63.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 36.7% / 63.3% probabilities
Rating 1,436 / 1,072 Freseros / Mineros de Zacatecas
RD 234 / 225 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 968-1,903 / 623-1,522 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.42 Fonbet · no value · model 63.3%
1 2.65 Fonbet · no value · model 36.7%
Total
Over 171.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 172.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — — 1.43 69.9%
— — 2.07 48.3% —
— — 1.96 51.0% —
1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
— — 1.75 57.1% —
— — 1.67 59.9% —
— — 1.67 59.9% —
— — 1.75 57.1% —
— — 1.85 54.1% —
— — 1.96 51.0% —
— — 2.07 48.3% —
— — — 2.64 37.9%
1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% — 1.85 54.1%
— — — 1.96 51.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 171.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 172.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 173.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.70 58.8%
Over 174.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
Over 175.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
Over 176.5 — — 1.94 51.6%
Over 177.5 — — 2.03 49.3%
Under 171.5 — — 2.03 49.3%
Under 172.5 — — 1.96 51.0%
Under 173.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 2.03 49.3%
Under 175.5 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.65 37.7% 2.65 37.7% 2.65 37.7% 2.67 37.5%
1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4%
Match center
Freseros de Irapuato
L L L L L
2026-07-31 LNBP 2026, East
Freseros de Irapuato Freseros de Irapuato 93:105 Mineros de Zacatecas
2026-07-26 LNBP 2026, East
Freseros de Irapuato Dorados 89:79 Freseros de Irapuato
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026, East
Freseros de Irapuato Dorados 84:80 Freseros de Irapuato
2026-07-17 Club Friendly Games 2026
Freseros de Irapuato Panteras de Aguascalientes 86:77 Freseros de Irapuato
2025-09-28 LNBP 2025, East
Freseros de Irapuato Gambusinos de Fresnillo 104:85 Freseros de Irapuato
0 Wins
5 Losses
82.8 Scored
93.6 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Mineros de Zacatecas
W L L L W
2026-07-31 LNBP 2026, East
Freseros de Irapuato 93:105 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026, East
Santos San Luis 95:80 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas
2026-07-24 LNBP 2026, East
Santos San Luis 87:86 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas
2025-10-15 LNBP 2025, Playoffs
Mineros de Zacatecas 73:86 Fuerza Regia Mineros de Zacatecas
2025-10-14 LNBP 2025, Playoffs
Mineros de Zacatecas 88:85 Fuerza Regia Mineros de Zacatecas
2 Wins
3 Losses
86.4 Scored
89.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFreseros de Irapuato - Mineros de Zacatecas

Freseros de Irapuato
2 matches total
Mineros de Zacatecas
Freseros de Irapuato: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Mineros de Zacatecas: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Mineros de Zacatecas 93:105 (2026-07-31) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 198 goals (93:105, 2026-07-31) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-31 LNBP 2026, East
Freseros de Irapuato 93:105 Mineros de Zacatecas
31.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Freseros
22:16
Mineros