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Mexico. LNBP

01.08.2026 03:00 UTC

Not started

Mexico. LNBP

Soles de Mexicali - Gambusinos

Basketball

Soles de Mexicali

- : -

Not started

Gambusinos

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Soles de Mexicali — 73%

Pure model vs market (1 · Soles de Mexicali): model 60% · market 75% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Soles de Mexicali ✓ Pick73.4%

market75%

2 · Gambusinos26.6%

market25%

Model estimate: win Soles de Mexicali 73.4%, win Gambusinos 26.6%. Model favourite — Soles de Mexicali.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Soles de Mexicali (odds1.31) Score 83:77 confidence 70%

• Soles: forma VPPPP (1-4)
• Gambusinos: forma PPV (1-2)
• ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
• Model backs Soles: probability 70% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.31)
• no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Soles de Mexicali - Gambusinos August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Soles de Mexicali. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.24 / 2 3.79

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.0%

1 ✓ Pick 75.3%

2 24.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 01.08.2026 03:00 UTC

Market 1 75.3% @ 1.24 / 2 24.7% @ 3.79

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Soles de Mexicali - Gambusinos

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Movement Line history

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Soles de Mexicali 74.4% 73.4% market and model agree

Gambusinos 25.6% 26.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 73.4% / 26.6% probabilities

Rating 1,256 / 925 Soles de Mexicali / Gambusinos

RD 295 / 290 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 666-1,845 / 346-1,504 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.66 market consensus · no value · model 26.6%

1 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 73.4%

Total

Over 163.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Over 164.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
1.82 55.0%	1.82 55.0%	1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%	—
1.88 53.2%	1.88 53.2%	1.96 51.0%
1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	—

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
Over 163.5	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	—
Over 164.5	1.87 53.5%	1.87 53.5%	—
Over 165.5	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%
Over 169.5	1.88 53.2%	1.88 53.2%	—
Under 163.5	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	—
Under 164.5	1.83 54.6%	1.83 54.6%	—
Under 165.5	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%
Under 169.5	1.82 55.0%	1.82 55.0%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	1.24 80.7%	1.24 80.7%	1.23 81.3%
	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%	3.79 26.4%

Match center

Soles de Mexicali

W L

31.07 01:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Soles de Mexicali 69:62 Gambusinos

26.07 20:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Soles de Mexicali 89:91 Fuersa Rekhiya

1 Wins

1 Losses

79.0 Scored

76.5 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Gambusinos

L L

31.07 01:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Gambusinos 62:69 Soles

26.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Gambusinos 80:88 Astros

0 Wins

2 Losses

71.0 Scored

78.5 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySoles de Mexicali - Gambusinos

Soles de Mexicali

1 matches total

Gambusinos

Soles de Mexicali: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Gambusinos: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Soles 69:62 (31.07 01:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 131 goals (69:62, 31.07 01:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

31.07 01:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Soles

69:62

Gambusinos