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Mexico. LNBP
Mexico. LNBP
30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Not started

Mexico. LNBP

Dorados - Diablos Rojos

Basketball
D
Dorados
- : -
Not started
D
Diablos Rojos
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Dorados — 54%

1 · Dorados54.1%
2 · Diablos Rojos45.9%

Model estimate: win Dorados 54.1%, win Diablos Rojos 45.9%. Model favourite — Dorados.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dorados (odds1.82) Score 81:79 confidence 54%
  • • Dorados: forma VV (2-0)
  • • Diablos Rojos: forma VP (1)
  • • Model backs Dorados: probability 54% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.82)
  • • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dorados - Diablos Rojos July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Dorados. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.82 / 2 1.88

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 50.8%
2 49.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Form 4 matches
Match center

Dorados - Diablos Rojos

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dorados 50.8% 54.1% market and model agree
Diablos Rojos 49.2% 45.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 54.1% / 45.9% probabilities
Rating 1,787 / 1,723 Dorados / Diablos Rojos
RD 274 / 278 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,240-2,334 / 1,167-2,279 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.88 market consensus · no value · model 45.9%
1 1.82 market consensus · no value · model 54.1%
Total
Over 166.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 166.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
1.94 51.6%
1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 166.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 166.5 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
1.82 55.0%
1.88 53.2%
Match center
Dorados
W W
25.07 22:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Dorados 89:79 Freseros
25.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Dorados 84:80 Freseros
2 Wins
0 Losses
86.5 Scored
79.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Diablos Rojos
W L
25.07 00:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Diablos Rojos 92:88 PanterasPanteras
24.07 00:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Diablos Rojos 80:91 PanterasPanteras
1 Wins
1 Losses
86.0 Scored
89.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDorados - Diablos Rojos

Dorados
0 matches total
Diablos Rojos
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history