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Mexico: LNBP

02.08.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction

02.08.2026 00:00 UTC

Finished

Mexico: LNBP

Dorados - Diablos Rojos

Basketball

Dorados

49 : 41

Finished

Diablos Rojos

Dorados go head-to-head with Diablos Rojos on August 2, 2026 in the Mexico: LNBP.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dorados 3-0-0, Diablos Rojos 1-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 52% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Dorados — 52%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dorados): model 62% · market 51% Δ +11 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Dorados52.2%

2 · Diablos Rojos47.8%

Model estimate: win Dorados 52.2%, win Diablos Rojos 47.8%. Model favourite — Dorados.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dorados (odds1.82) Score 81:79 confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct

• Dorados: forma VV (2-0)
• Diablos Rojos: forma VP (1)
• Model backs Dorados: probability 54% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.82)
• no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dorados - Diablos Rojos August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dorados.

Line favourite market consensus: Dorados. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.82 / 2 1.91
Glicko: Dorados 52.2% / Diablos Rojos 47.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.3%

1 51.2%

2 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 02.08.2026 00:00 UTC

Market 1 51.2% @ 1.82 / 2 48.8% @ 1.91

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Dorados - Diablos Rojos

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 3/3 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 49:41

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 55.9% fact: home hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.390 / LogLoss 0.582

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 52.3% fact: home hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.454 / LogLoss 0.647

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Dorados 51.5% 52.2% market and model agree

Diablos Rojos 48.5% 47.8%

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 52.2% / 47.8% probabilities

Rating 1,970 / 1,554 Dorados / Diablos Rojos

RD 233 / 241 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,504-2,436 / 1,073-2,035 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.90 market consensus · no value · model 47.8%

1 1.80 market consensus · no value · model 52.2%

Total

Over 166.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Over 167.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%
	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%
	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%
	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%
	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%
	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%
	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%
	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%
	—	1.92 52.1%
	—	1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
Over 166.5	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	—
Over 167.5	1.81 55.3%	1.81 55.3%	—
Over 168.5	1.87 53.5%	1.87 53.5%	—
Over 170.5	—	—	1.83 54.6%
Under 166.5	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	—
Under 167.5	1.89 52.9%	1.89 52.9%	—
Under 168.5	1.83 54.6%	1.83 54.6%	—
Under 170.5	—	—	1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	1.80 55.6%	1.79 55.9%	1.82 55.0%
	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.88 53.2%

Match center

Dorados

W W W

01.08 02:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Dorados 86:70 Diablos Rojos

25.07 22:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Dorados 89:79 Freseros

25.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Dorados 84:80 Freseros

3 Wins

0 Losses

86.3 Scored

76.3 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Diablos Rojos

L W L

01.08 02:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Diablos Rojos 70:86 Dorados

25.07 00:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Diablos Rojos 92:88 Panteras

24.07 00:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Diablos Rojos 80:91 Panteras

1 Wins

2 Losses

80.7 Scored

88.3 Conceded

33% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyDorados - Diablos Rojos

Dorados

1 matches total

Diablos Rojos

Dorados: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Diablos Rojos: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Dorados 86:70 (01.08 02:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 156 goals (86:70, 01.08 02:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

01.08 02:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP

Dorados

86:70

Diablos Rojos