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Mexico: LNBP
Mexico: LNBP
31.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Not started

Mexico: LNBP

El Calor de Cancun - Abekhas

Basketball
E
El Calor de Cancun
- : -
Not started
A
Abekhas
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 El Calor de Cancun62%

Pure model vs market (1 · El Calor de Cancun): model 60% · market 62% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · El Calor de Cancun ✓ Pick62.1%
market62%
2 · Abekhas37.9%
market38%

Model estimate: win El Calor de Cancun 62.1%, win Abekhas 37.9%. Model favourite — El Calor de Cancun.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1El Calor de Cancun (odds1.49) Score 82:78 confidence 62%
  • El Calor de Cancun: forma VPPVP (2-3)
  • Abekhas: forma PVV (2-1)
  • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • Model backs El Calor de Cancun: probability 62% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.49)
  • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction El Calor de Cancun - Abekhas July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: El Calor de Cancun. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / 2 2.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.5%
1 ✓ Pick 62.0%
2 38.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 23:15 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

El Calor de Cancun - Abekhas

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
El Calor de Cancun 62.2% 62.1% market and model agree
Abekhas 37.8% 37.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 62.1% / 37.9% probabilities
Rating 1,652 / 1,339 El Calor de Cancun / Abekhas
RD 202 / 251 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,248-2,057 / 838-1,841 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.44 market consensus · no value · model 37.9%
1 1.49 market consensus · no value · model 62.1%
Total
Over 166.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 166.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 166.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 166.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.49 67.1% 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7%
2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.42 41.3%
Match center
El Calor de Cancun
W L L
30.07 23:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP
El Calor de Cancun 80:76 Abekhas
25.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
El Calor de Cancun 63:80 Lobos Plateados
24.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
El Calor de Cancun 93:96 Lobos Plateados
1 Wins
2 Losses
78.7 Scored
84.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Abekhas
L W W
30.07 23:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Abekhas 76:80 El Calor de Cancun
25.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Abekhas 101:89 Korrekaminos
24.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Abekhas 95:88 Korrekaminos
2 Wins
1 Losses
90.7 Scored
85.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEl Calor de Cancun - Abekhas

El Calor de Cancun
1 matches total
Abekhas
El Calor de Cancun: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Abekhas: 0 (0%)
Biggest win El Calor de Cancun 80:76 (30.07 23:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 156 goals (80:76, 30.07 23:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

30.07 23:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
80:76
Abekhas