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Mexico. LNBP
Mexico. LNBP
30.07.2026 01:00 UTC
Not started

Mexico. LNBP

Soles de Mexicali - Gambusinos

Basketball
Soles de Mexicali
Soles de Mexicali
- : -
Not started
G
Gambusinos
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Soles de Mexicali76%

Pure model vs market (1 · Soles de Mexicali): model 36% · market 61% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Soles de Mexicali ✓ Pick76.0%
market61%
2 · Gambusinos24.0%
market39%

Model estimate: win Soles de Mexicali 76.0%, win Gambusinos 24.0%. Model favourite — Soles de Mexicali.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Soles de Mexicali (odds1.23) Score 84:76 confidence 76%
  • Soles: forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • Gambusinos: forma PV (1)
  • Model backs Soles: probability 76% vs 82% on the line (odds 1.23)
  • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Soles de Mexicali - Gambusinos July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Soles de Mexicali. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / 2 2.42

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 ✓ Pick 61.3%
2 38.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 01:00 UTC
Form 5 matches
Match center

Soles de Mexicali - Gambusinos

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Soles de Mexicali 79.0% 76.0% market and model agree
Gambusinos 21.0% 24.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 76.0% / 24.0% probabilities
Rating 595 / 1,558 Soles de Mexicali / Gambusinos
RD 300 / 294 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD -4-1,194 / 969-2,146 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.38 market consensus · no value · model 24.0%
1 1.52 market consensus · value +15.5% · model 76.0%
Total
Over 169.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 169.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.91 52.4%
1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6%
1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5%
1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3%
1.90 52.6%
1.81 55.3%
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 169.5 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8%
Under 169.5 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7%
2.37 42.2% 2.35 42.6% 2.42 41.3%
Match center
Soles de Mexicali
L L
26.07 20:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Soles de Mexicali 89:91 Fuersa Rekhiya
25.07 20:15 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Soles de Mexicali 91:94 Fuersa Rekhiya
0 Wins
2 Losses
90.0 Scored
92.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Gambusinos
L W
26.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Gambusinos 80:88 AstrosAstros
25.07 00:00 UTC Mexico: LNBP
Gambusinos 86:71 AstrosAstros
1 Wins
1 Losses
83.0 Scored
79.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage