PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff
Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff
11.06.2026 00:45 UTC Match prediction
11.06.2026 00:45 UTC
Finished

Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

Frayles de Guasave - Alkones Obregon

Basketball
F
Frayles de Guasave
90 : 82
Finished
Alkones Obregon
Alkones Obregon

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Frayles de Guasave - Alkones Obregon June 11, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Frayles de Guasave. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.67 / 2 2.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 55.3%
2 44.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

5Wins4
55.6%Win %44.4%
95.0Points per game94.0
97.6Offensive rating108.6
96.5Defensive rating109.7
1.0Point differential-1.0
52.7Assists62.7
115.7Rebounds123.0
36.6%3-pointers, %33.1%

Team form

Frayles de Guasave
Overall WWWWW Net +9.8
Home L Net +18.8
Away WWWWW Net +3.2
Alkones Obregon
Overall LLWWL Net +2.3
Home LLWL Net +3.8
Away WL Net +0.8

Team stats

Frayles de Guasave Overall · Home/Away Alkones Obregon
61.7%H 75.0% · A 51.9%Win %56.3%H 52.0% · A 60.9%
9.8H 18.8 · A 3.2Point differential2.3H 3.8 · A 0.8
97.9H 102.0 · A 95.0Points per game94.3H 94.6 · A 93.8
93.0H 92.6 · A 93.4Conceded93.1H 92.8 · A 93.4
48.3%H 48.9% · A 48.0%FG, %48.8%H 48.6% · A 48.9%
61.7H 70.0 · A 55.61st half41.7H 44.0 · A 39.1
85.7H 86.5 · A 85.2Pace82.1H 81.1 · A 83.2
114.3H 112.9 · A 115.3Offensive rating115.0H 116.5 · A 113.4
108.5H 107.2 · A 109.5Defensive rating113.6H 115.1 · A 112.0

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Frayles de Guasave Total (over) Alkones Obregon
97.9 Points per game 94.3
63.8%
O 92.5
54.2%
59.6%
O 93.5
47.9%
57.4%
O 94.5
43.8%
51.1%
O 95.5
39.6%
51.1%
O 96.5srednee
37.5%
46.8%
O 97.5
33.3%
44.7%
O 98.5
31.3%
40.4%
O 99.5
27.1%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Frayles de Guasave Total (over) Alkones Obregon
17.0%
O 111.5
6.3%
14.9%
O 112.5
6.3%
14.9%
O 113.5
6.3%
12.8%
O 114.5
6.3%
12.8%
O 115.5
4.2%
10.6%
O 116.5
4.2%
10.6%
O 117.5
4.2%
6.4%
O 118.5
2.1%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Frayles de Guasave 48.1 / Alkones Obregon 43.8

Frayles de Guasave Total (over) Alkones Obregon
68.1%
O 44.5
39.6%
61.7%
O 45.5srednee
35.4%
55.3%
O 46.5
31.3%
48.9%
O 47.5
20.8%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Frayles de Guasave 48.3 / Alkones Obregon 49.0

Frayles de Guasave Total (over) Alkones Obregon
55.3%
O 47.5
56.3%
46.8%
O 48.5srednee
47.9%
42.6%
O 49.5
45.8%
40.4%
O 50.5
39.6%

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Stadium Gimnasio Luis Estrada Medina (Guasave)
Referee Bermudez O. (Mek) - Escobedo Silva L. A. (Mek) - Ramirez J.
Attendance 1 000
Start 11.06.2026 00:45 UTC
Match center

Frayles de Guasave - Alkones Obregon

Array

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 156.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 157.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.37 42.2%
1.96 51.0%
2.07 48.3%
1.85 54.1%
1.96 51.0%
1.68 59.5%
1.52 65.8%
1.83 54.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.47 68.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.67 59.9%
1.64 61.0%
1.67 59.9%
1.72 58.1%
1.64 61.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 156.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 157.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 158.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 159.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 160.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 161.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 162.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 163.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 164.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 165.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 166.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 167.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 168.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 169.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 170.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 171.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 172.5 2.17 46.1%
Over 173.5 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Fonbet Leon
1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.25 80.0% 1.67 59.9% 1.22 82.0%
3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.55 28.2% 2.07 48.3% 3.85 26.0%
Match center
Frayles de Guasave
W W W W W
07.06 23:15 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff
Frayles de Guasave 108:93 Alkones ObregonAlkones Obregon
07.06 00:15 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff
Frayles de Guasave 103:99 Alkones ObregonAlkones Obregon
30.05 00:30 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff
Frayles de Guasave 111:83 PionerosPioneros
28.05 00:30 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff
Frayles de Guasave 89:75 PionerosPioneros
27.05 00:30 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff
Frayles de Guasave 100:94 PionerosPioneros
5 Wins
0 Losses
102.2 Scored
88.8 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Alkones Obregon
L L W W L
07.06 23:15 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff
Alkones Obregon 93:108 Frayles de Guasave
07.06 00:15 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff
Alkones Obregon 99:103 Frayles de Guasave
02.06 01:15 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff
Alkones Obregon 89:72 Toros LagunaToros Laguna
30.05 00:00 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff
Alkones Obregon 88:85 Toros LagunaToros Laguna
28.05 00:00 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff
Alkones Obregon 84:106 Toros LagunaToros Laguna
2 Wins
3 Losses
90.6 Scored
94.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFrayles de Guasave - Alkones Obregon

Frayles de Guasave
2 matches total
Alkones Obregon
Frayles de Guasave: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Alkones Obregon: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Frayles de Guasave 108:93 (07.06 23:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 202 goals (103:99, 07.06 00:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

07.06 23:15 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff
Frayles de Guasave
108:93
Alkones Obregon
07.06 00:15 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff
Frayles de Guasave
103:99
Alkones Obregon
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Frayles de Guasave
Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Alkones Obregon

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Astros 4:1 (8) Kabaleros
1/4 (4) Angeles CDMX streak (5) Zonkeys Tikhuana
1/4 (2) Alkones Obregon streak (7) Toros Laguna
1/4 (3) Frayles de Guasave streak (6) Pioneros