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Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

12.06.2026 00:45 UTC Match prediction

12.06.2026 00:45 UTC

Finished

Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

Frayles de Guasave - Alkones Obregon

Basketball

Frayles de Guasave

101 : 81

Finished

Alkones Obregon

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Frayles de Guasave - Alkones Obregon June 12, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Frayles de Guasave. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%

1 91.6%

2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

4Wins5

94.0Points on average95.0

Head-to-head matches: 9 · average total 189.0 (points)

Team form

Frayles de Guasave

2-3LLWWL

points for 94.3points against 93.1

Alkones Obregon

5-0WWWWW

points for 97.9points against 93.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Stadium Gimnasio Luis Estrada Medina (Guasave)

Referee Rodea R. (Mek) - Torres V. (Mek) - Dominguez K. (Mek)

Start 12.06.2026 00:45 UTC

Match center

Frayles de Guasave - Alkones Obregon

Array

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.89 market consensus · line only

1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 166.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Over 167.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.15 46.5%
	2.37 42.2%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.73 57.8%
	1.85 54.1%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.10 47.6%
	1.88 53.2%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.57 63.7%
	2.17 46.1%
	2.02 49.5%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.58 63.3%
	2.25 44.4%
	2.08 48.1%
	2.40 41.7%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 166.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 167.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 168.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 169.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 170.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 171.5	1.88 53.2%
Over 172.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 173.5	2.30 43.5%
Over 174.5	2.30 43.5%
Over 175.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 176.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 177.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 178.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 179.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 180.5	2.02 49.5%
Over 181.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 182.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 183.5	1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Bettery	Fonbet	Leon
	1.85 54.1%	1.87 53.5%	1.77 56.5%	1.01 99.0%	1.74 57.5%
	1.82 55.0%	1.83 54.6%	1.94 51.6%	11.00 9.1%	1.97 50.8%

Match center

Frayles de Guasave

W W W W W

11.06 00:45 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

Frayles de Guasave 90:82 Alkones Obregon

07.06 23:15 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

Frayles de Guasave 108:93 Alkones Obregon

07.06 00:15 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

Frayles de Guasave 103:99 Alkones Obregon

30.05 00:30 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

Frayles de Guasave 111:83 Pioneros

28.05 00:30 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

Frayles de Guasave 89:75 Pioneros

5 Wins

0 Losses

100.2 Scored

86.4 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Alkones Obregon

L L L W W

11.06 00:45 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

Alkones Obregon 82:90 Frayles de Guasave

07.06 23:15 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

Alkones Obregon 93:108 Frayles de Guasave

07.06 00:15 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

Alkones Obregon 99:103 Frayles de Guasave

02.06 01:15 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

Alkones Obregon 89:72 Toros Laguna

30.05 00:00 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

Alkones Obregon 88:85 Toros Laguna

2 Wins

3 Losses

90.2 Scored

91.6 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFrayles de Guasave - Alkones Obregon

Frayles de Guasave

3 matches total

Alkones Obregon

Frayles de Guasave: 3 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Alkones Obregon: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Frayles de Guasave 108:93 (07.06 23:15 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 202 goals (103:99, 07.06 00:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

11.06 00:45 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

Frayles de Guasave

90:82

Alkones Obregon

07.06 23:15 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

Frayles de Guasave

108:93

Alkones Obregon

07.06 00:15 UTC Mexico: SIBAKOPA - Playoff

Frayles de Guasave

103:99

Alkones Obregon

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Frayles de Guasave

Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Alkones Obregon

Tournament bracket

1/4 (1) Astros 4:1 (8) Kabaleros

1/4 (4) Angeles CDMX streak (5) Zonkeys Tikhuana

1/4 (2) Alkones Obregon streak (7) Toros Laguna

1/4 (3) Frayles de Guasave streak (6) Pioneros