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MPBL
MPBL Philippines
08.05.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

MPBL

Philippines

Iloilo United Royals - Quezon City Capitals

Philippines Basketball
Iloilo United Royals
Iloilo United Royals
70 : 102
Finished
Quezon City Capitals
Quezon City Capitals

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Iloilo United Royals - Quezon City Capitals May 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Quezon City Capitals. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.30 / 2 1.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 12.7%
2 87.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Iloilo United Royals
4-1WWWLW
points for 80.7points against 76.5
Quezon City Capitals

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 08.05.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Iloilo United Royals - Quezon City Capitals

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 159.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Over 160.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet Betsson CashPoint Fonbet Mansion
1.83 54.6%
1.88 53.2%
1.86 53.8%
1.86 53.8%
1.76 56.8%
1.87 53.5%
1.72 58.1%
1.84 54.4%
1.81 55.3%
1.79 55.9%

Total

Outcome 1xBet Betsson CashPoint Fonbet Mansion
Over 159.5 1.84 54.4%
Over 160.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 162.5 1.92 52.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6%
Under 159.5 1.76 56.8%
Under 160.5 1.81 55.3%
Under 162.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betsson CashPoint Fonbet Interwetten
6.20 16.1% 7.31 13.7% 7.30 13.7% 1.30 76.9%
1.04 96.2% 18.52 5.4% 1.06 94.3% 3.20 31.3%
Match center
Iloilo United Royals
L W L
04.05 10:00 UTC MPBL
Iloilo United Royals 68:120 South Cotabato Warriors
29.04 08:00 UTC MPBL
Iloilo United Royals 101:96 Manila Batang Sampaloc
14.04 08:00 UTC MPBL
Iloilo United Royals 82:92 Bataan RisersBataan Risers
1 Wins
2 Losses
83.7 Scored
102.7 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Quezon City Capitals
W W L
04.05 08:00 UTC MPBL
Quezon City Capitals 93:83 Bacolod City of Smiles
28.04 08:00 UTC MPBL
Quezon City Capitals 85:79 Marikina ShoemastersMarikina Shoemasters
10.04 11:45 UTC MPBL
Quezon City Capitals 63:89 Caloocan Batang KankalooCaloocan Batang Kankaloo
2 Wins
1 Losses
80.3 Scored
83.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage