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MPBL
MPBL Philippines
06.05.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
06.05.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

MPBL

Philippines

Meycauayan Marilao Gems - Negros Hacienderos

Philippines Basketball
Meycauayan Marilao Gems
Meycauayan Marilao Gems
97 : 73
Finished
Negros Hacienderos
Negros Hacienderos

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Meycauayan Marilao Gems - Negros Hacienderos May 6, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Meycauayan Marilao Gems. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 6.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 84.6%
2 15.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Meycauayan Marilao Gems

no data

Negros Hacienderos
5-0WWWWW
points for 89.2points against 77.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Meycauayan Marilao Gems - Negros Hacienderos

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.09 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Fonbet YSB88
1.07 93.2% 1.09 91.7% 1.09 91.7% 1.07 93.5%
5.46 18.3% 6.75 14.8% 6.00 16.7% 6.70 14.9%
Match center
Meycauayan Marilao Gems
L L W
01.05 08:00 UTC MPBL
Meycauayan Marilao Gems 75:84 Quezon HuskersQuezon Huskers
27.04 12:00 UTC MPBL
Meycauayan Marilao Gems 79:97 Caloocan Batang KankalooCaloocan Batang Kankaloo
13.04 08:00 UTC MPBL
Meycauayan Marilao Gems 94:76 Zamboanga SikatZamboanga Sikat
1 Wins
2 Losses
82.7 Scored
85.7 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Negros Hacienderos
L
30.04 08:00 UTC MPBL
Negros Hacienderos 67:85 Valenzuela Classics
0 Wins
1 Losses
67.0 Scored
85.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage