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MPBL
MPBL Philippines
05.05.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
05.05.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

MPBL

Philippines

Sarangani Marlins - Bulacan Kuyas

Philippines Basketball
Sarangani Marlins
Sarangani Marlins
76 : 80
Finished
Bulacan Kuyas
Bulacan Kuyas

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sarangani Marlins - Bulacan Kuyas May 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Sarangani Marlins. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / 2 2.69

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 65.9%
2 34.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sarangani Marlins
0-5LLLLL
points for 79.7points against 101.7
Bulacan Kuyas
2-3LWWLL
points for 79.5points against 83.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 05.05.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Sarangani Marlins - Bulacan Kuyas

Array

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.69 market consensus · line only
1 1.39 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome BetBoom
1.39 71.9%
2.69 37.2%
Match center
Sarangani Marlins
L L
29.04 10:00 UTC MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 75:104 Ilagan Isabela CowboysIlagan Isabela Cowboys
13.04 12:00 UTC MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 66:75 Marikina ShoemastersMarikina Shoemasters
0 Wins
2 Losses
70.5 Scored
89.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Bulacan Kuyas
L W
29.04 12:00 UTC MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas 85:86 Imus Agimat
11.04 08:00 UTC MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas 102:96 Paranaque PatriotsParanaque Patriots
1 Wins
1 Losses
93.5 Scored
91.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage