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MPBL
MPBL Philippines
08.05.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

MPBL

Philippines

Sarangani Marlins - Pasay Voyagers

Philippines Basketball
Sarangani Marlins
Sarangani Marlins
58 : 75
Finished
Pasay Voyagers
Pasay Voyagers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sarangani Marlins - Pasay Voyagers May 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Pasay Voyagers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.80 / 2 1.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 13.6%
2 86.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sarangani Marlins
0-5LLLLL
points for 79.7points against 101.7
Pasay Voyagers
5-0WWWWW
points for 98.9points against 75.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 08.05.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Sarangani Marlins - Pasay Voyagers

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 157.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Over 160.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet CloudBet Fonbet GGBet Mansion
1.90 52.6%
1.84 54.4%
1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.72 58.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.76 56.8%
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 2.05 48.8%

Total

Outcome 1xBet Fonbet GGBet Mansion
Over 157.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 160.5 1.86 53.8%
Over 162.5 1.90 52.8%
Over 164.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 157.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 160.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 162.5 1.81 55.3%
Under 164.5 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
6.80 14.7%
1.07 93.5%
Match center
Sarangani Marlins
L L L
05.05 08:00 UTC MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 76:80 Bulacan KuyasBulacan Kuyas
29.04 10:00 UTC MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 75:104 Ilagan Isabela CowboysIlagan Isabela Cowboys
13.04 12:00 UTC MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 66:75 Marikina ShoemastersMarikina Shoemasters
0 Wins
3 Losses
72.3 Scored
86.3 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Pasay Voyagers
W W L
04.05 12:00 UTC MPBL
Pasay Voyagers 109:70 Imus Agimat
28.04 12:00 UTC MPBL
Pasay Voyagers 93:78 Bataan RisersBataan Risers
10.04 09:00 UTC MPBL
Pasay Voyagers 61:90 San Juan Knights
2 Wins
1 Losses
87.7 Scored
79.3 Conceded
67% Win percentage