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National Teams. Women. Friendly
National Teams. Women. Friendly International
06.08.2026 17:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
06.08.2026 17:00 UTC
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National Teams. Women. Friendly

Latvia (w) - Sweden (w)

International Basketball
Latvia (w)
Latvia (w)
- : -
Not started
Sweden (w)
Sweden (w)

Latvia (w) take on Sweden (w) on August 6, 2026 in the National Teams. Women. Friendly, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Latvia (w) 5-0-0, Sweden (w) 0-0-5. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Sweden (w) — 52%

Pure model vs market (2 · Sweden (w)): model 48% · market 52% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Latvia (w)48.0%
2 · Sweden (w)52.0%

Model estimate: win Latvia (w) 48.0%, win Sweden (w) 52.0%. Model favourite — Sweden (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Sweden (w) (odds1.78) Score 79:81 Over 143.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 -1.5 (odds1.85) confidence 52%
  • • Sweden (zh): forma pp (0-2)
  • • Model backs Sweden (zh): probability 52% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.78)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 143.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 143.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 -1.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Latvia (w) - Sweden (w) August 6, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sweden (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.94 / 2 1.77

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.1% 2 books
1 47.7%
2 52.3%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.94 → 1.94
Winner P2 1.77 → 1.77

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 47.7% @ 1.94 / 2 52.3% @ 1.77
Form 2 matches
Match center

Latvia (w) - Sweden (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Latvia (w) 47.7% 48.0%
Sweden (w) 52.3% 52.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 48.0% / 52.0% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,141 Latvia (w) / Sweden (w)
RD 350 / 249 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 644-1,639 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.77 Fonbet · no value · model 52.0%
1 1.94 Fonbet · no value · model 48.0%
Total
Over 143.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 143.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1% —
— 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 143.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 143.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.94 51.6% 1.98 50.5%
1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-1
2023-02-12 · Latvia (Zh) 71:65 Sweden (Zh)
2021-11-14 · Latvia (Zh) 89:70 Sweden (Zh)
2019-07-01 · Latvia (Zh) 62:77 Sweden (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Latvia (w)
W W W W W
2026-03-17 EuroBasket, Women, Qualification 2027, Group B
Latvia (w) Estonia (w) 75:82 Latvia (w)
2026-03-14 EuroBasket, Women, Qualification 2027, Group B
Latvia (w) Netherlands (w) 64:73 Latvia (w)
2026-03-11 EuroBasket, Women, Qualification 2027, Group B
Latvia (w) Latvia (w) 79:53 Slovenia (w)
2025-11-18 EuroBasket, Women, Qualification 2027, Group B
Latvia (w) Latvia (w) 89:47 Estonia (w)
2025-11-15 EuroBasket, Women, Qualification 2027, Group B
Latvia (w) Latvia (w) 89:62 Netherlands (w)
5 Wins
0 Losses
82.4 Scored
60.2 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Sweden (w)
L L L L L
2026-07-31 International Friendly Games, Women 2026
Sweden (w) 63:66 Finland (w) Sweden (w)
2026-07-30 International Friendly Games, Women 2026
Lithuania (w) 65:59 Sweden (w) Sweden (w)
2025-11-16 EuroBasket, Women, Qualification 2027, Group H
Finland (w) 86:77 Sweden (w) Sweden (w)
2025-11-13 EuroBasket, Women, Qualification 2027, Group H
Sweden (w) 65:87 Lithuania (w) Sweden (w)
2025-06-22 EuroBasket, Women 2025, Group D
Sweden (w) 75:78 Spain (w) Sweden (w)
0 Wins
5 Losses
67.8 Scored
76.4 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLatvia (w) - Sweden (w)

Latvia (w)
0 matches total
Sweden (w)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history