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National Teams. Women. Friendly
National Teams. Women. Friendly International
31.07.2026 13:00 UTC
31.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Not started

National Teams. Women. Friendly

Sweden (w) - Finland (w)

International Basketball
Sweden (w)
Sweden (w)
- : -
Not started
Finland (w)
Finland (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Sweden (w) — 69%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sweden (w)): model 52% · market 71% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sweden (w) ✓ Pick68.6%
market71%
2 · Finland (w)31.4%
market29%

Model estimate: win Sweden (w) 68.6%, win Finland (w) 31.4%. Model favourite — Sweden (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sweden (w) (odds1.35) Score 81:79 Over 142.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +6.5 (odds1.85) confidence 52%
  • • Sweden (zh): forma P (0-1)
  • • Finland (zh): forma P (0-1)
  • • Model backs Sweden (zh): probability 52% vs 74% on the line (odds 1.35)
  • • no edge over the line (-22 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Over 142.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 142.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +6.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sweden (w) - Finland (w) July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sweden (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / 2 3.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 71.1%
2 28.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.35 ↓ 1.30
Pobeditel P2 2.95 ↑ 3.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Form 2 matches
Match center

Sweden (w) - Finland (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sweden (w) 69.8% 68.6% market and model agree
Finland (w) 30.2% 31.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 68.6% / 31.4% probabilities
Rating 1,244 / 1,244 Sweden (w) / Finland (w)
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 662-1,826 / 662-1,826 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.20 Fonbet · no value · model 31.4%
1 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 68.6%
Total
Over 142.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 142.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1% —
— 1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet Leon
Over 142.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 142.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5%
3.20 31.3% 3.00 33.3%
Match center
Sweden (w)
L
30.07 16:00 UTC Sbornye. Women. Friendlies
Sweden (w) 58:63 Lithuania (zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
58.0 Scored
63.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Finland (w)
L
30.07 13:00 UTC Sbornye. Women. Friendlies
Finland (w) 79:84 Poland (zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
79.0 Scored
84.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySweden (w) - Finland (w)

Sweden (w)
0 matches total
Finland (w)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history