NBA. Summer league
Grizzlies - Mavericks
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Grizzlies — 75%
Pure model vs market (1 · Grizzlies): model 49% · market 12% Δ +37 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Grizzlies 74.7%, win Mavericks 25.3%. Model favourite — Grizzlies.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Мемфис: форма ВПВ (2-1)
- • линия на пик П1 1.25→1.21 (укоротилась — деньги на пик)
- • Модель ставит на Мемфис: вероятность 75% против 83% по линии (кэф 1.21)
- ✓ перевеса над линией нет (-8 пп) — прогноз информационный
- • Тотал: ТМ 174.5: модель ждёт суммарно ~160 очк
- • при линии 174.5 (кэф 2.40)
- • Фора Ф2 +9.5: прогноз счёта 84:76 (разница +8) покрывает линию (кэф 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Grizzlies - Mavericks 14 июля 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mavericks.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.60 / 2 1.03
- Glicko: Grizzlies 74.7% / Mavericks 25.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Лидер исходов AI: П1
Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:7/7 ready
AI consensus:1
| AI | 1 | 2 | Score | Total points | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 78% | 22% | 92:82 | ТМ 180.5 | Фора 1 (-8.5) |
| DeepSeek | 82% | 18% | 105:88 | ТБ 187.5 | Ф1 (-8.5) |
| ChatGPT | 78% | 22% | 98:85 | ТМ 186.5 | Мемфис −8.5 |
| Claude | 78% | 22% | 94:80 | ТМ 176.5 | Фора 1 (−8.5) |
| Qwen | 77% | 23% | 92:82 | ТМ 185.5 | Победа Мемфиса с форой (-7.5) |
| Kimi | 72% | 28% | 98:87 | ТМ 185.5 | П1 (Memphis) + ТМ 185. |
| GLM 5.2 | 82% | 18% | 104:90 | ТБ 198.5 | П1 -8.5 |
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Grizzlies - Mavericks
Баскетбол, Мемфис Гриззлиз - Даллас Маверикс, 14 июля 2026: обзор матча, счет 88 : 96, статистика и результаты, видео голов. НБА — Летняя лига 2026/2027, Лас-Вегас. Во сколько начало матча Мемфис Гриззлиз - Даллас Маверикс, где смотреть прямой эфир, смотреть онлайн трансляцию матча.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -10.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| П1 -8.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| П1 -9.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — | — |
| П2 +10.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| П2 +8.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| П2 +9.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — | — |
| П2 -1.5 | — | — | 1.63 61.4% |
| П2 -10.5 | — | — | 1.48 67.6% |
| П2 -11.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| П2 -12.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| П2 -13.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| П2 -14.5 | — | — | 1.43 69.9% |
| П2 -15.5 | — | — | 1.45 69.0% |
| П2 -2.5 | — | — | 1.92 52.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 171.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| ТБ 172.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 173.5 | — | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| ТБ 174.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 175.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 176.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 177.5 | — | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 178.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 2.00 50.0% |
| ТБ 179.5 | 1.82 55.0% | — | 2.25 44.4% |
| ТБ 180.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% | 2.55 39.2% |
| ТМ 178.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| ТМ 179.5 | 1.88 53.2% | — | — |
| ТМ 180.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% | 7.60 13.2% | 1.22 82.0% |
| П2 | 3.90 25.6% | 4.00 25.0% | 1.03 97.1% | 4.12 24.3% |
Grizzlies
Chikago
Atlanta Hawks
Mavericks
Full head-to-head historyGrizzlies - Mavericks
Match history
Мемфис Гриззлиз Даллас Маверикс 4 Игры 2 2 Победы 0 2 Поражения 2 390 Забито 160 375 Пропущено 192 6 Очки 2