NBA. Summer league
Memfis Grizzlis - Mavericks
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Memfis Grizzlis — 76%
Pure model vs market (1 · Memfis Grizzlis): model 55% · market 81% Δ −26 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Memfis Grizzlis 76.3%, win Mavericks 23.7%. Model favourite — Memfis Grizzlis.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Memfis Grizzlis - Mavericks 13 июля 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Memfis Grizzlis.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.21 / 2 5.30
- Glicko: Memfis Grizzlis 76.3% / Mavericks 23.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Лидер исходов AI: П1
Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:6/7 ready · Still preparing:GLM 5.2
AI consensus:1
| AI | 1 | 2 | Score | Total points | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 80% | 20% | 91:80 | ТМ 174.5 | Фора 1 (-8.5) |
| DeepSeek | 78% | 22% | 102:92 | ТМ 190.5 | Победа Мемфис с форой (-6.5) и ТМ 190.5 |
| ChatGPT | 82% | 18% | 98:82 | ТМ 187.5 | Мемфис −10.5 |
| Claude | 80% | 20% | 93:80 | ТМ 178.5 | Фора Ф1 -7.5 (осн.); альтернатива — П1 |
| Qwen | 82% | 18% | 98:82 | ТМ 192.5 | Победа Мемфиса (П1) |
| Kimi | 78% | 22% | 98:86 | ТБ 185.5 | П1 Memphis Grizzlies |
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Memfis Grizzlis - Mavericks
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -10 | — | — | 1.86 53.8% |
| П1 -10.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| П1 -8.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| П1 -9.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| П2 +10 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +10.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| П2 +8.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +9 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +9.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.88 53.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 177.5 | 1.82 55.0% | — | — |
| ТБ 178.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 179 | — | — | 1.86 53.8% |
| ТБ 179.5 | 1.82 55.0% | — | — |
| ТБ 180 | — | — | 1.86 53.8% |
| ТБ 180.5 | — | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| ТМ 177.5 | 1.88 53.2% | — | — |
| ТМ 178.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТМ 179 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТМ 179.5 | 1.88 53.2% | — | — |
| ТМ 180 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТМ 180.5 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.21 82.6% |
| П2 | 4.20 23.8% | 5.30 18.9% | 4.22 23.7% |
Chikago Bullz
Mavericks
Los-Andzheles Leykers
Full head-to-head historyMemfis Grizzlis - Mavericks