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NBA. Summer league
NBA. Summer league International
Лас-Вегас 15.07.2026 04:00 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 04:00 MSK Лас-Вегас
Finished

NBA. Summer league

Thunder - Nuggets

International Basketball
Stadium Кокс Павильон (Парадайс, США), вместимость: 2454
Thunder
Thunder
103 : 106
Finished
Nuggets
Nuggets
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Thunder — 51%

Pure model vs market (1 · Thunder): model 47% · market 25% Δ +22 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Thunder50.9%
2 · Nuggets49.1%

Model estimate: win Thunder 50.9%, win Nuggets 49.1%. Model favourite — Thunder.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Thunder (odds1.94) confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Thunder - Nuggets 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nuggets.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nuggets. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.65 / 2 1.22
  • Glicko: Thunder 50.9% / Nuggets 49.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 25.1%
2 74.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.82 ↑ 3.65
Победитель П2 1.88 ↓ 1.22

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

7Wins3
117.0Points on average109.0

Head-to-head matches: 10 · average total 225.0 (points)

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Кокс Павильон (Парадайс, США), вместимость: 2454
Referee Фатри Абаци (США)
Start 15.07.2026 04:00 MSK
Stage Лас-Вегас
Form 10 matches
H2H 8
Match center

Thunder - Nuggets

Баскетбол, Оклахома-Сити Тандер - Денвер Наггетс, 15 июля 2026: обзор матча, счет 103 : 106, статистика и результаты, видео голов. НБА — Летняя лига 2026/2027, Лас-Вегас. Во сколько начало матча Оклахома-Сити Тандер - Денвер Наггетс, где смотреть прямой эфир, смотреть онлайн трансляцию матча.

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 8 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 1 block. officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 103:106
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Thunder 51.2% 50.9% market and model agree
Nuggets 48.9% 49.1%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 50.9% / 49.1% probabilities
Rating 1,066 / 1,384 Thunder / Nuggets
RD 262 / 202 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 542-1,590 / 979-1,788 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.22 Fonbet · no value · model 49.1%
1 3.65 Fonbet · weak value +85.7% · model 50.9%
Handicap
2 +1 1.88 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 173.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 174.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -1.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
П2 +1.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.58 63.3%
П2 +10.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
П2 +11.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
П2 +12.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
П2 +2.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
П2 +3.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
П2 +4.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
П2 +5.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
П2 -1.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
П2 -2.5 — — 1.27 78.7%
П2 -3.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
П2 -4.5 — — 1.38 72.5%
П2 -5.5 — — 1.32 75.8%
П2 -6.5 — — 1.42 70.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 173.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
ТБ 174.5 — — 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 175.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
ТБ 176.5 — — 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 177.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 178.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 179.5 — — 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 180.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 181.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 182.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
ТМ 178.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% —
ТМ 180.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.82 55.0% 1.79 55.9% 3.65 27.4% 1.83 54.6%
П2 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 1.22 82.0% 1.95 51.3%
Match center
Thunder
L L
11.07 05:00 МСК NBA. Summer League
Thunder 84:96 LeykersLeykers
08.07 04:00 МСК NBA. Summer League
Thunder 63:88 YutaYuta
0 Wins
2 Losses
73.5 Scored
92.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Nuggets
L
11.07 01:30 МСК NBA. Summer League
Nuggets 86:96 KhyustonKhyuston
0 Wins
1 Losses
86.0 Scored
96.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyThunder - Nuggets

Thunder
0 matches total
Nuggets
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
2026 НБА — регулярный чемпионат Денвер Наггетс 127 : 107 Оклахома-Сити Тандер 10.03.
Event
2026 НБА — регулярный чемпионат Оклахома-Сити Тандер 129 : 126 Денвер Наггетс 28.02.
Event
2026 НБА — регулярный чемпионат Оклахома-Сити Тандер 127 : 121 ОТ Денвер Наггетс 02.02.
Event
2026 НБА — регулярный чемпионат Денвер Наггетс 111 : 121 Оклахома-Сити Тандер 18.10.
Event
2025 НБА — предсезонные матчи Оклахома-Сити Тандер 94 : 91 Денвер Наггетс 18.05.
Event
2025 НБА — плей-офф Оклахома-Сити Тандер 125 : 93 Денвер Наггетс 1/4 финала. 7-й матч 16.05.
Event
2025 НБА — плей-офф Денвер Наггетс 119 : 107 Оклахома-Сити Тандер 1/4 финала. 6-й матч 14.05.
Event
2025 НБА — плей-офф Оклахома-Сити Тандер 112 : 105 Денвер Наггетс 1/4 финала. 5-й матч 11.05.
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Thunder
Data 6 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Nuggets
Thunder Team comparison Nuggets
5 Игры 2
0 Победы 1
5 Поражения 1
383 Забито 187
496 Пропущено 179
5 Очки 3
5 Игры 2
0 Победы 1
5 Поражения 1
383 Забито 187
496 Пропущено 179
5 Очки 3

Оклахома-Сити Тандер Денвер Наггетс 5 Игры 2 0 Победы 1 5 Поражения 1 383 Забито 187 496 Пропущено 179 5 Очки 3