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NBA
NBA USA
09.06.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
09.06.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

NBA

USA

Connecticut Sun - Spurs

USA Basketball
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
111 : 115
Finished
Spurs
Spurs

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Connecticut Sun - Spurs June 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Spurs. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.40 / 2 1.21

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 21.6%
2 78.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Connecticut Sun
#3GP 8253-29
Spurs
#2GP 8262-20

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Team form

Connecticut Sun

Coach: Joe Mazzulla

Overall LLLWW Net +15.7
Home LLL Net +14.8
Away LWW Net +16.6
Spurs

Coach: Gregg Popovich

Overall LLWWL Net +17.0
Home LLWW Net +18.4
Away WL Net +15.5

Team stats

Connecticut Sun Overall · Home/Away Spurs
67.1%H 69.8% · A 64.3%Win %71.9%H 75.5% · A 68.1%
15.7H 14.8 · A 16.6Point differential17.0H 18.4 · A 15.5
114.4H 114.0 · A 114.8Points per game118.5H 118.6 · A 118.4
106.5H 106.6 · A 106.5Conceded110.0H 109.4 · A 110.7
46.2%H 46.2% · A 46.1%FG, %47.8%H 48.3% · A 47.2%
65.9H 62.8 · A 69.11st half67.7H 71.4 · A 63.8
97.1H 97.3 · A 96.8Pace101.8H 101.1 · A 102.5
117.6H 117.6 · A 117.7Offensive rating116.7H 117.8 · A 115.6
109.6H 109.5 · A 109.6Defensive rating108.3H 109.3 · A 107.3

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Connecticut Sun Total (over) Spurs
114.4 Points per game 118.5
94.1%
O 93.5
99.0%
94.1%
O 94.5
99.0%
91.8%
O 95.5
96.9%
90.6%
O 96.5
96.9%
87.1%
O 97.5
96.9%
85.9%
O 98.5
95.8%
85.9%
O 99.5
95.8%
83.5%
O 100.5srednee
94.8%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Connecticut Sun Total (over) Spurs
56.5%
O 111.5
72.9%
54.1%
O 112.5
69.8%
49.4%
O 113.5
68.8%
45.9%
O 114.5
62.5%
42.4%
O 115.5
59.4%
40.0%
O 116.5
56.3%
37.6%
O 117.5
54.2%
37.6%
O 118.5
49.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Connecticut Sun 58.9 / Spurs 61.3

Connecticut Sun Total (over) Spurs
41.2%
O 58.5
59.4%
38.8%
O 59.5
52.1%
37.6%
O 60.5srednee
47.9%
37.6%
O 61.5
44.8%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Connecticut Sun 55.2 / Spurs 56.4

Connecticut Sun Total (over) Spurs
51.8%
O 54.5
58.3%
48.2%
O 55.5srednee
55.2%
48.2%
O 56.5
51.0%
41.2%
O 57.5
42.7%

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Match center
Start 09.06.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Connecticut Sun - Spurs

Form 0/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.21 Fonbet · line only
1 4.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 102.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 105.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
2.52 39.7%
2.90 34.5%
2.75 36.4%
2.45 40.8%
2.80 35.7%
2.25 44.4%
2.55 39.2%
2.35 42.6%
1.23 81.3%
1.35 74.1%
1.72 58.1%
1.62 61.7%
1.52 65.8%
1.43 69.9%
1.58 63.3%
1.50 66.7%
1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 102.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 105.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 106.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 107.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 108.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 109.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 110.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 111.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 112.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 113.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 114.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 115.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 116.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 142.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 143.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 144.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 145.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 146.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.78 56.2% 4.40 22.7%
2.05 48.8% 1.21 82.6%
Match center
Spurs
W W L
31.05 00:00 UTC NBA
Spurs 111:103 Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder
29.05 00:30 UTC NBA
Spurs 118:91 Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder
27.05 00:30 UTC NBA
Spurs 114:127 Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder
2 Wins
1 Losses
114.3 Scored
107.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyConnecticut Sun - Spurs

Connecticut Sun
0 matches total
Spurs
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history