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NBA
NBA USA
12.05.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
12.05.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

NBA

USA

Indiana Fever - Minnesota Lynx

USA Basketball
Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever
112 : 103
Finished
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Indiana Fever - Minnesota Lynx May 12, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Indiana Fever. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.56 / 2 2.42

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 60.8%
2 39.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Indiana Fever
3-2WLLWW
points for 88.4points against 91.3
Minnesota Lynx
4-1WWLWW
points for 90.5points against 79.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 12.05.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Indiana Fever - Minnesota Lynx

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.42 Fonbet · line only
1 1.56 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.25 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 202 1.28 market consensus · line only
Over 209.5 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betsson CashPoint CloudBet
— — — 1.91 52.4% — — —
1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4% — 1.83 54.6% — —
— — — — 1.93 51.8% 1.97 50.8% —
1.95 51.3% — — — — — —
— — — 1.91 52.4% — — —
— — — — — — 2.25 44.4%
1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% — 1.93 51.8% — 1.96 51.0%
— — — — 1.83 54.6% 1.76 56.8% —
1.90 52.6% — — — — — —

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport
Over 211.5 — — 1.91 52.4%
Over 212 1.91 52.4% — —
Over 212.5 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 1.80 55.6%
Over 213 1.91 52.4% — —
Over 213.5 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4%
Under 211.5 — — 1.91 52.4%
Under 212 1.91 52.4% — —
Under 212.5 1.90 52.6% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0%
Under 213 1.91 52.4% — —
Under 213.5 1.91 52.4% 1.99 50.2% 1.91 52.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betsson CloudBet Coral Dafabet DraftKings
1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.3% 1.57 63.7% 2.40 41.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.59 62.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.60 62.5%
2.38 42.1% 2.52 39.8% 2.38 42.1% 1.61 62.3% 2.38 42.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.37 42.2% 2.41 41.5% 2.40 41.7%