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NBA
NBA USA
04.06.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
04.06.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

NBA

USA

Spurs - Connecticut Sun

USA Basketball
Spurs
Spurs
95 : 105
Finished
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Spurs - Connecticut Sun June 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Spurs. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.48 / 2 2.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 64.2%
2 35.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

VALUE

Fonbet · historical ROI

Extra value signals (not 1x2)

LOW

Total points: Under 218.5

odds 1.75 hist. ROI +0.0%

Under (zaschitnyy/nizkotempovyy match)

Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Spurs
#2GP 8262-20
Connecticut Sun
#3GP 8253-29

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

55Wins45
102.6Points on average100.5

Head-to-head matches: 100 · average total 203.1 (points)

Team form

Spurs
4-6WLLWLWLLWL
points for 81.6points against 87.7
Connecticut Sun
2-8LWLLLWLLLL
points for 77.3points against 85.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 04.06.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Spurs - Connecticut Sun

Form 5/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 108.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Over 109.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.55 64.5%
2.65 37.7%
1.72 58.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.00 50.0%
2.12 47.2%
2.30 43.5%
2.50 40.0%
2.30 43.5%
1.42 70.4%
2.00 50.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.72 58.1%
1.64 61.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.47 68.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 108.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 109.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 110.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 111.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 112.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 113.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 211.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 212.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 213.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 214.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 215.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 216.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 217.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 218.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 219.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 220.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 221.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 222.5 2.33 42.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.48 67.6%
2.65 37.7%
Match center
Spurs
W W L W L
31.05 00:00 UTC NBA
Spurs 111:103 Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder
29.05 00:30 UTC NBA
Spurs 118:91 Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder
27.05 00:30 UTC NBA
Spurs 114:127 Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder
25.05 00:00 UTC NBA
Spurs 103:82 Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder
23.05 00:30 UTC NBA
Spurs 108:123 Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder
3 Wins
2 Losses
110.8 Scored
105.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySpurs - Connecticut Sun

Spurs
0 matches total
Connecticut Sun
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history