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NBA
NBA USA
14.06.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
14.06.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

NBA

USA

Spurs - Connecticut Sun

USA Basketball
Spurs
Spurs
90 : 94
Finished
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Spurs - Connecticut Sun June 14, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Spurs. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.51 / 2 2.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 63.3%
2 36.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Spurs
#2GP 8262-20
Connecticut Sun
#3GP 8253-29

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

23Wins13
63.9%Win %36.1%
104.2Points per game103.2
101.4Offensive rating101.9
100.4Defensive rating103.0
1.1Point differential-1.1
75.9Assists75.0
136.1Rebounds138.3
33.3%3-pointers, %34.7%

Team form

Spurs

Coach: Gregg Popovich

Overall LWLLW Net +16.7
Home LLW Net +18.4
Away LWW Net +14.9
Connecticut Sun

Coach: Joe Mazzulla

Overall LLLWW Net +15.7
Home LLL Net +14.8
Away LWW Net +16.6

Team stats

Spurs Overall · Home/Away Connecticut Sun
71.4%H 75.5% · A 67.4%Win %67.1%H 69.8% · A 64.3%
16.7H 18.4 · A 14.9Point differential15.7H 14.8 · A 16.6
118.3H 118.6 · A 118.1Points per game114.4H 114.0 · A 114.8
110.0H 109.4 · A 110.6Conceded106.5H 106.6 · A 106.5
47.7%H 48.3% · A 47.0%FG, %46.2%H 46.2% · A 46.1%
67.4H 71.4 · A 63.31st half65.9H 62.8 · A 69.1
101.7H 101.1 · A 102.3Pace97.1H 97.3 · A 96.8
116.7H 117.6 · A 115.7Offensive rating117.6H 117.6 · A 117.7
108.4H 109.3 · A 107.6Defensive rating109.6H 109.5 · A 109.6

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Spurs Total (over) Connecticut Sun
118.3 Points per game 114.4
99.0%
O 93.5
94.1%
99.0%
O 94.5
94.1%
96.9%
O 95.5
91.8%
96.9%
O 96.5
90.6%
96.9%
O 97.5
87.1%
95.9%
O 98.5
85.9%
95.9%
O 99.5
85.9%
94.9%
O 100.5srednee
83.5%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Spurs Total (over) Connecticut Sun
72.4%
O 111.5
56.5%
69.4%
O 112.5
54.1%
68.4%
O 113.5
49.4%
62.2%
O 114.5
45.9%
58.2%
O 115.5
42.4%
55.1%
O 116.5
40.0%
53.1%
O 117.5
37.6%
48.0%
O 118.5
37.6%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Spurs 61.4 / Connecticut Sun 58.9

Spurs Total (over) Connecticut Sun
59.2%
O 58.5
41.2%
52.0%
O 59.5
38.8%
48.0%
O 60.5srednee
37.6%
44.9%
O 61.5
37.6%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Spurs 56.2 / Connecticut Sun 55.2

Spurs Total (over) Connecticut Sun
58.2%
O 54.5
51.8%
55.1%
O 55.5srednee
48.2%
51.0%
O 56.5
48.2%
42.9%
O 57.5
41.2%

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Spurs - Connecticut Sun

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.60 market consensus · line only
1 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet
1.51 66.2%
2.60 38.5%
Match center
Spurs
W
31.05 00:00 UTC NBA
Spurs 111:103 Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder
1 Wins
0 Losses
111.0 Scored
103.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Connecticut Sun
W L
11.06 00:30 UTC NBA
Connecticut Sun 107:106 San-AntonioSan-Antonio
09.06 00:30 UTC NBA
Connecticut Sun 111:115 San-AntonioSan-Antonio
1 Wins
1 Losses
109.0 Scored
110.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySpurs - Connecticut Sun

Spurs
2 matches total
Connecticut Sun
Spurs: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Connecticut Sun: 2 (100%)
Biggest win San-Antonio 115:111 (09.06 00:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 226 goals (115:111, 09.06 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

11.06 00:30 UTC NBA
San-Antonio
106:107
Connecticut Sun
09.06 00:30 UTC NBA
San-Antonio
115:111
Connecticut Sun