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NBL1, North
NBL1, North Australia
09.05.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
09.05.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

NBL1, North

Australia

Cairns Marlins - Townsville Heat

Australia Basketball
Cairns Marlins
Cairns Marlins
97 : 74
Finished
Townsville Heat
Townsville Heat

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cairns Marlins - Townsville Heat May 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cairns Marlins. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.05.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Cairns Marlins - Townsville Heat

Array

Form 2/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.63 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 160.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 161.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet
1.85 54.1%
1.89 52.9%
1.78 56.2%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.81 55.1%
1.82 55.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.82 55.0%
1.89 52.9%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.72 58.2%
1.92 52.1%
1.89 52.9%
1.92 52.1%

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 163.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 164.5 1.78 56.3%
Over 165.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 167.5 1.78 56.3%
Over 173.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 175.5 1.71 58.4%
Over 176.75 1.80 55.7%
Over 177.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 177.75 1.80 55.4%
Over 178.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 179.25 1.82 54.9%
Over 179.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 163.5 1.89 52.9%
Under 164.5 1.94 51.7%
Under 165.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 167.5 1.94 51.7%
Under 173.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 175.5 1.78 56.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral
1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 98.8% 1.00 99.9% — 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% —
11.00 9.1% 10.40 9.6% 10.50 9.5% 13.00 7.7% 21.00 4.8% 22.00 4.6% 17.00 5.9% 11.11 9.0% 9.65 10.4% 10.00 10.0%
Match center
Cairns Marlins
W W
02.05 09:00 UTC NBL1, North
Cairns Marlins 99:72 Northside Wizards (Zh)Northside Wizards (Zh)
01.05 10:30 UTC NBL1, North
Cairns Marlins 95:94 Sunshine Coast Phoenix
2 Wins
0 Losses
97.0 Scored
83.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage