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NBL1, North
NBL1, North Australia
10.05.2026 05:00 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

NBL1, North

Australia

Rockhampton Rockets - Brisbane Capitals

Australia Basketball
Rockhampton Rockets
Rockhampton Rockets
79 : 85
Finished
Brisbane Capitals
Brisbane Capitals

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rockhampton Rockets - Brisbane Capitals May 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Brisbane Capitals. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.30 / 2 1.18

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 21.5%
2 78.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2026 05:00 UTC
Match center

Rockhampton Rockets - Brisbane Capitals

Array

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.18 Fonbet · line only
1 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 163.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Over 165.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet 888Sport Bet365
1.82 55.0% — —
2.02 49.5% — —
1.82 55.0% 1.90 52.6% —
1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% — —
1.85 54.1% — —
— — 1.87 53.5%
— — 1.87 53.5%
1.92 52.1% — —
1.74 57.5% — —
1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% —
1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% —
1.89 52.9% — —
1.89 52.9% — —

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 167.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 174.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 175.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 176.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 180.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 181.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 184.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 186.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 187.5 1.84 54.4%
Over 187.75 1.79 55.8%
Under 167.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 174.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 175.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 176.5 1.89 52.9%
Under 180.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 181.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 184.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 186.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet
3.20 31.3% 2.99 33.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.35 29.9% 6.50 15.4% 18.00 5.6% 17.00 5.9% 4.20 23.8% 3.10 32.3%
1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.0% 1.29 77.8% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.01 99.0% 5.99 16.7% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Brisbane Capitals
W
02.05 10:00 UTC NBL1, North
Brisbane Capitals 109:85 Southern Districts Spartans
1 Wins
0 Losses
109.0 Scored
85.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage