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NBL1, West
NBL1, West Australia
10.05.2026 04:00 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2026 04:00 UTC
Finished

NBL1, West

Australia

East Perth Eagles - Geraldton Buccaneers

Australia Basketball
East Perth Eagles
East Perth Eagles
74 : 102
Finished
Geraldton Buccaneers
Geraldton Buccaneers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction East Perth Eagles - Geraldton Buccaneers May 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Geraldton Buccaneers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 8.4%
2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

East Perth Eagles
7-3WLWWWLLWWW
points for 88.5points against 77.8
Geraldton Buccaneers
2-3WWLLL
points for 98.4points against 94.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2026 04:00 UTC
Match center

East Perth Eagles - Geraldton Buccaneers

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 1.61 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1.00 1.81 market consensus · line only
2 1 1.91 market consensus · line only
2 1.00 1.89 market consensus · line only
1 -1.00 1.93 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 174.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Over 175.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet
1.95 51.2%
1.87 53.5%
1.84 54.4%
1.78 56.2%
1.85 54.1%
1.78 56.3%
1.61 62.0%
1.87 53.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.92 52.1%
1.89 52.9%
1.98 50.6%
1.82 55.0%
1.87 53.5%
1.92 52.1%
1.92 52.1%
1.96 51.2%
1.92 52.1%

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 177.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 179.5 1.79 55.9%
Over 180.5 1.78 56.3%
Over 180.75 1.80 55.6%
Over 183.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 184.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 185.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 186.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 188.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 177.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 179.5 1.96 51.2%
Under 180.5 1.94 51.7%
Under 180.75 1.80 55.6%
Under 183.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 184.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 185.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 186.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 188.5 1.89 52.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet
11.00 9.1% 1.48 67.6% 1.57 63.7% 18.00 5.6% 21.00 4.8% 22.00 4.6% 17.00 5.9% 50.00 2.0% 1.47 68.0%
1.01 99.0% 2.47 40.4% 2.38 42.1% 1.00 99.6% 1.00 99.9% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 10.50 9.5% 2.40 41.7%
Match center
East Perth Eagles
W W
01.05 12:30 UTC NBL1, West
East Perth Eagles 104:82 Warwick SenatorsWarwick Senators
10.04 12:30 UTC NBL1, West
East Perth Eagles 94:75 Warwick SenatorsWarwick Senators
2 Wins
0 Losses
99.0 Scored
78.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Geraldton Buccaneers
L W
02.05 11:00 UTC NBL1, West
Geraldton Buccaneers 87:97 Mandurah MagicMandurah Magic
11.04 11:00 UTC NBL1, West
Geraldton Buccaneers 101:91 Perry Lakes HawksPerry Lakes Hawks
1 Wins
1 Losses
94.0 Scored
94.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage