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NBL1 Women, North
NBL1 Women, North Australia
09.05.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction
09.05.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

NBL1 Women, North

Australia

Mackay Mertteorettes (w) - Brisbane Capitals

Australia Basketball
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
111 : 64
Finished
Brisbane Capitals
Brisbane Capitals

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mackay Mertteorettes (w) - Brisbane Capitals May 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mackay Mertteorettes (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 10.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 91.1%
2 8.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
7-3WWWWWLWWLL
points for 92.7points against 78.4
Brisbane Capitals

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 09.05.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Mackay Mertteorettes (w) - Brisbane Capitals

Array

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.18 market consensus · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 159.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Over 160.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet
1.87 53.5%
1.71 58.6%
1.84 54.4%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.83 54.7%
1.75 57.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.84 54.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.5%
1.84 54.5%
1.84 54.5%
2.11 47.4%

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 159.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 163.5 1.91 52.4%
Over 164.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 165.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 168.5 1.84 54.4%
Over 168.75 1.82 55.0%
Over 169.5 1.90 52.5%
Over 170.25 1.83 54.7%
Over 170.5 1.78 56.1%
Over 171.5 1.90 52.5%
Under 159.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 163.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 164.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 165.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 168.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 168.75 1.78 56.1%
Under 169.5 1.84 54.5%
Under 170.25 1.79 55.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral
1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.4% 1.00 99.9% 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 98.8% 1.03 97.1%
11.00 9.1% 10.50 9.5% 16.00 6.3% 21.00 4.8% 11.00 9.1% 17.00 5.9% 12.58 8.0% 19.49 5.1% 11.00 9.1%
Match center
Mackay Mertteorettes (w)
W W
02.05 07:00 UTC NBL1 Women, North
Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 90:66 Ipswich ForceIpswich Force
01.05 08:00 UTC NBL1 Women, North
Mackay Mertteorettes (w) 93:78 Logan Thunder (Zh)Logan Thunder (Zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
91.5 Scored
72.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Brisbane Capitals
L
02.05 08:00 UTC NBL1 Women, North
Brisbane Capitals 81:84 Southern Districts Spartans
0 Wins
1 Losses
81.0 Scored
84.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage