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NBL1 Women, South
NBL1 Women, South Australia
09.05.2026 07:30 UTC Match prediction
09.05.2026 07:30 UTC
Finished

NBL1 Women, South

Australia

Bendigo Braves - Ballarat Miners

Australia Basketball
Bendigo Braves
Bendigo Braves
78 : 89
Finished
Ballarat Miners
Ballarat Miners

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bendigo Braves - Ballarat Miners May 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ballarat Miners. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.70 / 2 1.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 12.0%
2 88.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.05.2026 07:30 UTC
Match center

Bendigo Braves - Ballarat Miners

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 7.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 0.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 166.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Over 167.5 3.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet Bet365
1.92 52.1% —
1.92 52.1% —
1.89 52.9% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.71 58.4% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.82 55.0% —
1.92 52.1% —
1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5%
— 1.80 55.6%
1.82 55.0% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.89 52.9% —
1.82 54.9% —
1.89 52.9% —
1.92 52.1% —
1.82 55.0% —

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 166.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 168.25 1.81 55.3%
Over 168.5 1.84 54.4%
Over 168.75 1.81 55.3%
Over 170.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 171.5 1.79 55.9%
Over 172.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 173.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 174.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 166.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 168.25 1.81 55.2%
Under 168.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 168.75 1.79 55.8%
Under 170.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 171.5 1.96 51.2%
Under 172.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 173.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 174.5 1.92 52.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral
10.00 10.0% 2.99 33.4% 17.00 5.9% 21.00 4.8% 10.00 10.0% 17.00 5.9% 26.76 3.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.37 42.2%
1.02 98.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.01 99.5% 1.00 99.9% 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0% 11.82 8.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.50 66.7%
Match center
Bendigo Braves
L L W
02.05 07:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Bendigo Braves 67:92 Hobart Chargers
01.05 08:30 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Bendigo Braves 70:78 Northern ForceNorthern Force
12.04 04:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Bendigo Braves 86:80 Knox Raiders
1 Wins
2 Losses
74.3 Scored
83.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Ballarat Miners
W W
02.05 07:30 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Ballarat Miners 87:79 Kilsyth Cobras
12.04 03:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Ballarat Miners 90:77 Melbourne Tigers
2 Wins
0 Losses
88.5 Scored
78.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage