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NBL1 Women, South
NBL1 Women, South Australia
10.05.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

NBL1 Women, South

Australia

Keilor Thunder - Hobart Chargers

Australia Basketball
Keilor Thunder
Keilor Thunder
97 : 52
Finished
Hobart Chargers
Hobart Chargers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Keilor Thunder - Hobart Chargers May 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Keilor Thunder. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Keilor Thunder
8-2WWLWWWWWLW
points for 86.8points against 74.3
Hobart Chargers

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Keilor Thunder - Hobart Chargers

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.85 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 148.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 148.50 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet
1.85 54.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.92 52.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.89 52.9%
1.82 55.0%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.82 55.0%
1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.92 52.1%
1.74 57.5%
1.92 52.1%
1.96 51.2%

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 148.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 149.25 1.82 55.0%
Over 149.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 149.75 1.81 55.3%
Over 150.25 1.83 54.7%
Over 151.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 152.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 153.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 155.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 156.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 157.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 158.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 163.5 1.89 52.9%
Under 148.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 149.25 1.80 55.5%
Under 149.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 149.75 1.78 56.1%
Under 150.25 1.79 55.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral Dafabet
1.05 95.3% 1.05 95.7% 1.00 99.9% 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.4% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5%
7.40 13.5% 8.75 11.4% 21.00 4.8% 11.00 9.1% 17.00 5.9% 15.89 6.3% 16.79 6.0% 7.50 13.3% 7.60 13.2%
Match center
Keilor Thunder
W L W
03.05 02:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Keilor Thunder 74:70 Geelong United
02.05 08:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Keilor Thunder 68:93 Diamond Valley Eagles
12.04 02:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Keilor Thunder 84:69 Northern ForceNorthern Force
2 Wins
1 Losses
75.3 Scored
77.3 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Hobart Chargers
W W L L
08.05 08:30 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Hobart Chargers 82:78 Mount Gambier Pioneers
02.05 07:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Hobart Chargers 92:67 Bendigo Braves
12.04 03:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Hobart Chargers 76:86 Waverley Falcons
11.04 07:30 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Hobart Chargers 77:83 Kilsyth Cobras
2 Wins
2 Losses
81.8 Scored
78.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage